Acadian Timber Corp's latest earnings report reveals a steady performance amid challenging market conditions.
On August 5, 2026, Acadian Timber Corp (ADN.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings, marking a notable moment for investors as the company managed to meet its earnings expectations precisely. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.07, matching analysts' estimates, despite a backdrop of declining revenues and net income compared to the previous year.
Recent earnings trend
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Acadian Timber Corp
ADN.TO
ADN.TO
Acadian Timber Corp
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Market cap
$326.67M
P/E
6.6x
52W high
$18.19
52W low
$13.28
1W change
-0.90%
Beta
0.49
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ADN
Wall Street analysts forecast ADN stock price to rise 3.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$18.25
+3.1% Upside
Current Price
C$17.70
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ADN's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
17.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
13.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+6.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$18.08
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1ฯ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$17.83 | C$16.80 โ C$18.91 |
| 60 trading days | C$17.95 | C$16.51 โ C$19.52 |
| 90 trading days | C$18.08 | C$16.32 โ C$20.03 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | โ | 0.1000 | โ |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.0700 | 0.0700 | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | 0.1900 | 0.1300 | +46.2% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-11 | 0.1400 | 0.0500 | +180.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-29 | 0.1000 | 0.2000 | -50.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.2700 | 0.2500 | +8.0% |
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Investor takeaway: While Acadian Timber's earnings met expectations, the decline in revenue and net income suggests that the company faces ongoing challenges in a competitive and fluctuating market. Investors should keep an eye on the operational improvements in Maine and the expected recovery in New Brunswick sales volumes as potential indicators of future performance.
EPS Matches Expectations at $0.07
Despite a year-over-year decline in revenue and net income, Acadian Timber's ability to meet EPS estimates demonstrates resilience in a tough operating environment.
Bull case
Operational improvements in Maine look promising, and normalizing inventories in New Brunswick could help boost sales volumes. Plus, higher selling prices are offsetting volume declines, which might lead to better profit margins in the future.
Bear case
Revenue dropped significantly year-over-year, and net income halved, raising concerns about the company's ability to stay profitable. Their reliance on seasonal conditions and customer inventory levels poses risks that could affect future earnings stability.
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