Ag Growth International Inc's recent earnings report shows a significant miss in EPS, indicating a tough time for the company amid mixed results across its segments.
Ag Growth International Inc (AFN.TO) released its second-quarter earnings on July 29, 2026, and the results were disappointing compared to analysts' expectations. The company reported an EPS of -2.06, a stark contrast to the anticipated 0.02, leading to a shocking surprise of -10400%. This miss underscores ongoing challenges in the commercial segment, even as there are some positive signs in farm operations.
Recent earnings trend
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Ag Growth International Inc
AFN.TO
AFN.TO
Ag Growth International Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$253.31M
Div. yield
2.09%
Div. / share
$0.30
52W high
$43.78
52W low
$13.25
1W change
-25.92%
Beta
1.10
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AFN
Wall Street analysts forecast AFN stock price to rise 46.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$21.57
+46.2% Upside
Current Price
C$14.75
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AFN's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
89.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
64.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$12.34
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$13.90 | C$10.20 – C$18.93 |
| 60 trading days | C$13.09 | C$8.46 – C$20.28 |
| 90 trading days | C$12.34 | C$7.22 – C$21.08 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | — | 0.6000 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | -2.0600 | 0.0200 | -10400.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | -0.2900 | -0.4300 | +32.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-08 | 1.3100 | 1.0200 | +28.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | 1.3100 | 1.0248 | +27.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-31 | 0.2600 | 0.7100 | -63.4% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should tread carefully as Ag Growth navigates a challenging agricultural landscape. While farm operations are showing signs of recovery, the significant earnings miss and declining commercial revenues raise concerns about the sustainability of growth moving forward.
EPS Misses Estimates by 10400%
Ag Growth International's EPS of -2.06 starkly contrasts with the market's expectation of 0.02, reflecting significant operational challenges and a need for strategic adjustments.
Bull case
The farm segment is bouncing back, with revenue up 10% year-over-year, thanks to strong demand in North America. If this trend continues and larger projects in the commercial segment get back on track, AGI could turn its financial performance around.
Bear case
The commercial segment's revenue dropped 17%, and the order book fell by 22%, showing ongoing weakness. Coupled with geopolitical uncertainties and delays in project decisions, these factors could slow AGI's recovery and profitability in the near term.
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