
AirBoss of America reported third-quarter EPS of C$0.05, below the C$0.06 estimate. That ends a two-quarter run of earnings beats. The company also reported higher adjusted EBITDA, lower sales and negative free cash flow.
AirBoss of America Corp. (TSX: BOS) reported EPS of C$0.05 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, missing the C$0.06 estimate by 16.7%. In the previous two quarters, EPS beat estimates: C$0.09 versus C$0.07 in June and C$0.08 versus C$0.07 in March. The latest results show a mixed picture, with adjusted EBITDA up year over year as sales slipped. Here’s what the update means for Canadian investors following BOS.TO.
Recent earnings trend
AirBoss of America Corp.
BOS.TO
BOS.TO
AirBoss of America Corp.
Market cap
$173.08M
52W high
$9.98
52W low
$3.82
1W change
+6.43%
Beta
1.86
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering BOS · as of Nov 6, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast BOS stock price to rise 49.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$9.55
+49.9% Upside
Previously C$9.48 on Nov 5, 2026
Current Price
C$6.37
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on BOS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
46.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
53.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$5.33
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.00 | C$5.10 – C$7.06 |
| 60 trading days | C$5.66 | C$4.50 – C$7.11 |
| 90 trading days | C$5.33 | C$4.03 – C$7.05 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | 0.0500 | 0.0600 | -16.7% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0900 | 0.0700 | +28.6% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | 0.0800 | 0.0700 | +14.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-04 | 0.0100 | 0.0300 | -66.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | -0.1472 | -0.0100 | -1372.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.0800 | 0.0200 | +300.0% |
Investor takeaway: The miss is small in dollar terms, but it breaks the company’s recent run of earnings beats. It also comes alongside negative trailing-twelve-month EPS and a negative profit margin. Higher adjusted EBITDA and a return to quarterly profit are encouraging, but lower sales and negative free cash flow temper the progress. Investors should look at the operating results and cash generation, not judge the business on one estimate miss.
C$0.05 EPS, versus C$0.06 expected
AirBoss missed the estimate by 16.7%. It beat estimates in the previous two reported quarters, but also missed in December 2025. The reported results add context: adjusted EBITDA rose year over year, while sales fell and free cash flow remained negative.
Bull case
AirBoss reported third-quarter profit of US$1.5 million, compared with a US$2.9 million loss a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA rose to US$8.1 million from US$7.3 million. In September, the company also announced a five-year framework agreement for defense products. It includes an initial order of up to US$12.5 million, with additional orders of up to US$4.4 million. The agreement could support future business, but the available information doesn’t establish its full contribution to revenue or profit.
Bear case
Third-quarter sales fell 1.7% year over year to US$98.7 million, and free cash flow was negative US$3.5 million, according to the reported results. EPS missed estimates after two consecutive beats. Trailing-twelve-month EPS was -C$0.09, and the profit margin was -1.40%. The share price also sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The recovery case still depends on sustained improvement in the company’s operations.
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