Alamos Gold Inc. has delivered impressive earnings, exceeding expectations and showing resilience in a tough market.
In its recent Q2 2026 earnings report, Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI.TO) announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.59, beating analysts' expectations of $0.53 by 11.3%. This marks the third consecutive quarter the company has outperformed EPS estimates, reflecting strong operational performance despite facing some production challenges.
Recent earnings trend
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Alamos Gold Inc
AGI.TO
AGI.TO
Alamos Gold Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$16.31B
P/E
9.9x
Div. yield
0.33%
Div. / share
$0.13
52W high
$75.63
52W low
$34.71
1W change
-7.13%
Beta
1.33
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AGI
Wall Street analysts forecast AGI stock price to rise 72.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$67.36
+72.9% Upside
Current Price
C$38.96
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AGI's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
74.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
62.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$32.59
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$36.71 | C$28.41 – C$47.43 |
| 60 trading days | C$34.59 | C$24.07 – C$49.69 |
| 90 trading days | C$32.59 | C$20.91 – C$50.80 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 8 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | — | 0.6100 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.5900 | 0.5300 | +11.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 | 0.5500 | 0.5500 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.5400 | 0.5000 | +8.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-28 | 0.3700 | 0.3600 | +2.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.3400 | 0.3300 | +3.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should note Alamos Gold's ability to generate free cash flow and return capital to shareholders while managing production adjustments and rising costs. The company's focus on its high-grade Island Gold District is a key driver for future growth.
EPS of $0.59 Surpasses Estimates by 11.3%
Alamos Gold's adjusted earnings reflect solid operational performance, allowing the company to maintain a competitive edge in the volatile gold market.
Bull case
Alamos Gold is well-positioned for long-term growth thanks to its strong free cash flow, record production at the Island Gold District, and increased returns to shareholders. The removal of gold hedges boosts exposure to rising gold prices, and ongoing exploration efforts may uncover additional high-grade resources.
Bear case
However, the seismic event at Young-Davidson and rising labor costs present significant risks to production targets and profit margins. The downward revision of full-year production guidance raises concerns about the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory.
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