Alamos Gold Inc. delivered strong Q2 results, exceeding earnings estimates and showcasing robust production from its Island Gold District.
Recent earnings trend
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Alamos Gold Inc
AGI.TO
AGI.TO
Alamos Gold Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$16.92B
P/E
10.3x
Div. yield
0.33%
Div. / share
$0.13
52W high
$75.63
52W low
$34.76
1W change
-0.69%
Beta
1.33
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AGI
Wall Street analysts forecast AGI stock price to rise 66.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$67.36
+66.6% Upside
Current Price
C$40.42
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AGI's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
47.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
62.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$33.81
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$38.08 | C$32.35 – C$44.84 |
| 60 trading days | C$35.88 | C$28.48 – C$45.21 |
| 90 trading days | C$33.81 | C$25.48 – C$44.86 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 8 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | — | 0.6100 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.5900 | 0.5300 | +11.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 | 0.5500 | 0.5500 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.5400 | 0.5000 | +8.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-28 | 0.3700 | 0.3600 | +2.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.3400 | 0.3300 | +3.0% |
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On July 29, 2026, Alamos Gold Inc. (TSX: AGI) reported its second-quarter earnings, revealing an EPS of $0.59, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.53 by 11.3%. This marks the third earnings beat out of the last four quarters for the company, reflecting solid operational performance amid challenging conditions.
Investor takeaway: Investors should note Alamos Gold's strong cash flow generation and commitment to shareholder returns, despite recent production challenges at some sites. The company's ability to maintain profitability and manage costs will be crucial as it navigates the current market environment.
Q2 2026 EPS of $0.59 vs. $0.53 Estimate
With an EPS surprise of 11.3%, Alamos Gold continues to demonstrate its capacity for profitability amidst operational challenges.
Bull case
Alamos Gold generated $144 million in free cash flow in Q2 and achieved record production at the Island Gold District. This shows a strong operational framework. With ongoing investments in growth and a solid cash position, the company is well-prepared to seize future opportunities.
Bear case
A recent seismic event at Young-Davidson has led to reduced production and increased costs, raising concerns about the company’s ability to meet its revised guidance. Additionally, labor inflation and higher contractor costs could further squeeze margins in the near term.
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