Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust has delivered an impressive earnings surprise, significantly exceeding analyst expectations.
In its recent earnings report for the second quarter of 2026, Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust (AD-UN.TO) announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.41 by an impressive 68.3%. This continues the company's strong performance trend, with three out of the last four quarters showing similar earnings beats.
Recent earnings trend
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Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust
AD-UN.TO
AD-UN.TO
Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust
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Market cap
$1.17B
P/E
12.5x
52W high
$26.15
52W low
$16.60
1W change
+4.30%
Beta
1.44
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AD-UN
Wall Street analysts forecast AD-UN stock price to rise 8.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$27.91
+8.6% Upside
Current Price
C$25.69
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AD-UN's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
20.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
17.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$30.71
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$27.27 | C$25.44 – C$29.22 |
| 60 trading days | C$28.94 | C$26.24 – C$31.92 |
| 90 trading days | C$30.71 | C$27.24 – C$34.63 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | — | 0.6300 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.6900 | 0.4100 | +68.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | 0.6900 | 0.4700 | +46.8% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-09 | -0.1200 | 0.4200 | -128.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 1.7600 | 0.6600 | +166.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.5900 | -0.1500 | +493.3% |
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Investor takeaway: For Canadian investors, Alaris Equity Partners' solid earnings growth and expanding portfolio of partnerships suggest a strong operational foundation and potential for future returns. The company's ability to generate significant cash flow and maintain a healthy payout ratio offers a positive outlook.
Bull case
Alaris Equity Partners' recent performance highlights its ability to exceed revenue expectations, thanks to strong partner distributions and a growing portfolio. With a record net book value and increased cash flow, Alaris seems well-positioned for continued growth in the capital markets sector.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings report, investors should be cautious about the earnings volatility seen in previous quarters, including a significant miss last December. Additionally, the company's reliance on partner distributions could pose risks if market conditions change.
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