Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp delivered a solid earnings surprise, showcasing resilience amid market challenges.
Recent earnings trend
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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
AQN.TO
AQN.TO
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
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Market cap
$6.15B
P/E
23.5x
Div. yield
3.23%
Div. / share
$0.26
52W high
$9.48
52W low
$7.03
1W change
-2.56%
Beta
0.90
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AQN
Wall Street analysts forecast AQN stock price to rise 20.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$9.60
+20.2% Upside
Current Price
C$7.99
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AQN's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
28.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
21.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-10.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$7.70
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$7.89 | C$7.16 – C$8.69 |
| 60 trading days | C$7.79 | C$6.80 – C$8.94 |
| 90 trading days | C$7.70 | C$6.51 – C$9.10 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 9 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-06 | — | 0.1000 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-07 | 0.0400 | 0.0300 | +33.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-08 | 0.1300 | 0.1100 | +18.2% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-06 | 0.0200 | 0.0500 | -60.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-07 | 0.0900 | 0.0600 | +50.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-08 | 0.0400 | 0.0400 | +0.0% |
In its latest earnings report, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN.TO) exceeded expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.04, beating the consensus estimate of $0.03 by an impressive 33.3%. As the company navigates a complex landscape, including plans to move its headquarters to the U.S., it’s important for investors to consider what these results mean and how ongoing strategic changes might affect the future.
Investor takeaway: Despite a recent drop in share price, Algonquin's earnings beat highlights its operational stability. However, the risks associated with its redomicile plans and increasing costs could present challenges ahead.
Earnings Surprise of 33.3% Reflects Operational Resilience
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Algonquin's EPS of $0.04 outperformed expectations, but the company faces challenges with rising costs and regulatory hurdles as it plans to redomicile.
Bull case
If Algonquin successfully executes its redomicile plan, it could gain better access to capital and lower tax liabilities, which might boost future earnings. Additionally, focusing on operational efficiency could help improve profit margins over time.
Bear case
With a decline in adjusted net earnings and rising operating costs, investors should stay cautious. The upcoming transition to a U.S. corporate structure brings regulatory risks that could affect short-term performance.
Earnings Overview
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Analyst Ratings and Price Targets
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
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