Alithya Group's latest earnings report showed steady performance despite tough market conditions.
On August 13, 2026, Alithya Group Inc Class A (ALYA.TO) released its first-quarter fiscal results for 2027. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03, which matched analyst estimates, resulting in no surprises. However, revenue and profitability took a hit, raising concerns about the company's operational efficiency and market position.
Recent earnings trend
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Alithya Group inc Class A
ALYA.TO
ALYA.TO
Alithya Group inc Class A
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$104.51M
52W high
$2.20
52W low
$0.94
1W change
-13.31%
Beta
-0.17
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ALYA
Wall Street analysts forecast ALYA stock price to rise 18.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$1.27
+18.1% Upside
Current Price
C$1.07
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ALYA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
59.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
48.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$0.90
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1ฯ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.01 | C$0.83 โ C$1.24 |
| 60 trading days | C$0.95 | C$0.72 โ C$1.27 |
| 90 trading days | C$0.90 | C$0.63 โ C$1.28 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-13 | โ | 0.0200 | โ |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-13 | 0.0300 | 0.0300 | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-06-11 | 0.0800 | 0.0600 | +33.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-13 | 0.0500 | 0.0900 | -44.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-14 | 0.1000 | 0.0700 | +42.9% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | 0.0700 | 0.0700 | +0.0% |
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Investor takeaway: While Alithya's EPS met expectations, the decline in revenues and profitability indicates a need for a strategic reevaluation. Investors should keep an eye on the company's ongoing strategic review and consider its potential impact on future performance.
Revenue Decline of 15.4% Year-Over-Year
Alithya's revenue for Q1 2027 dropped to CAD 105.1 million, down from CAD 124.2 million in the same quarter last year, highlighting a significant contraction in business activities.
Bull case
Alithya has a strong pipeline of new business opportunities, including a major Oracle contract, which suggests potential for revenue recovery and growth. The ongoing strategic review might lead to positive changes that could enhance shareholder value.
Bear case
The 15.4% decline in revenue year-over-year and a net loss of $2.4 million point to operational challenges that could affect performance in the near term. Additionally, lower gross margins and rising personnel costs raise concerns about profitability moving forward.
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