Alphamin Resources' latest earnings report shows a slight miss in EPS, raising questions about future performance despite strong revenue growth expectations.
Alphamin Resources Corp. (AFM.V) reported its Q2 2026 earnings on July 31, 2026, with an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.0492, just below the consensus estimate of 0.05. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter where the company has not met analyst expectations. However, Alphamin is experiencing significant year-over-year growth in revenue, indicating that its operations are fundamentally strong.
Recent earnings trend
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Alphamin Res
AFM.V
AFM.V
Alphamin Res
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.93B
P/E
6.2x
Div. yield
8.21%
Div. / share
$0.12
52W high
$1.68
52W low
$0.80
1W change
-2.58%
Beta
0.96
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AFM
Wall Street analysts forecast AFM stock price to fall 29.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$1.07
-29.1% Upside
Current Price
C$1.51
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AFM's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
47.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
49.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+47.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$1.79
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.60 | C$1.35 – C$1.88 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.69 | C$1.34 – C$2.13 |
| 90 trading days | C$1.79 | C$1.34 – C$2.38 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-31 | 0.0492 | 0.0500 | -1.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-03 | 0.0300 | 0.0300 | +0.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.0200 | 0.0300 | -33.3% |
| 2023-09-30 | 2023-11-17 | 0.0100 | 0.0100 | +0.0% |
| 2023-06-30 | 2023-07-24 | 2.9600 | 0.0300 | +9766.7% |
| 2023-03-31 | 2023-05-16 | 0.0173 | — | — |
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Investor takeaway: While the earnings miss might concern some investors, the solid revenue growth and healthy profit margin suggest that the company’s operational fundamentals remain robust. Investors should keep an eye on future earnings revisions and market reactions as Alphamin continues on its growth path.
EPS Misses by 1.6% Amid Strong Revenue Growth
Alphamin's revenue consensus for the quarter was set at $236.35 million, reflecting a substantial 63.9% year-over-year growth. This contrasts with the EPS miss and highlights the company's ability to generate significant sales despite challenges in profit margins.
Bull case
Alphamin's impressive revenue growth of 63.9% year-over-year, along with a strong profit margin of 25.49%, shows solid operational efficiency. The company also offers a notable dividend yield of 12.15%, which could attract income-focused investors. With ongoing exploration and production initiatives, there’s potential for future earnings improvements.
Bear case
The continued failure to meet earnings estimates may indicate underlying issues that could affect investor confidence. Additionally, the average analyst price target of C$1.07 represents a 25.7% downside from the last closing price of C$1.44. Investors should weigh the risks associated with low analyst coverage and the potential for future earnings volatility.
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