A significant earnings miss raises questions about Americas Silver Corp's operational efficiency.
Americas Silver Corp (USA.TO) reported disappointing earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, with an EPS of -0.0038, falling short of the estimated 0.04. This represents a staggering earnings surprise of -109.5%, highlighting ongoing challenges within the company's operations.
Recent earnings trend
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Americas Silver Corp
USA.TO
USA.TO
Americas Silver Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.11B
52W high
$14.14
52W low
$4.96
1W change
-5.45%
Beta
2.28
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering USA · as of Sep 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast USA stock price to rise 105.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$12.83
+105.3% Upside
Previously C$12.64 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$6.25
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on USA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
64.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
81.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+2.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$6.30
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.27 | C$5.01 – C$7.84 |
| 60 trading days | C$6.28 | C$4.57 – C$8.62 |
| 90 trading days | C$6.30 | C$4.27 – C$9.28 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-09 | — | 0.0800 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-14 | -0.0038 | 0.0400 | -109.5% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-08 | 0.0790 | 0.1500 | -47.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-30 | -0.0800 | 0.0500 | -260.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-10 | -0.0200 | -0.0300 | +33.3% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-11 | -0.0700 | -0.0200 | -250.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious following this earnings miss, as it indicates potential issues in production efficiency and cost management. Despite a bullish analyst consensus, recent performance metrics raise concerns about the sustainability of the company's growth trajectory.
-109.5% Earnings Surprise
Americas Silver Corp's earnings fell significantly short of expectations, raising concerns about its operational efficiency and future profitability.
Bull case
The company has demonstrated strong production capabilities, achieving record quarterly silver production and sales. This suggests that there is potential for recovery if it can improve its operational efficiencies.
Bear case
The substantial earnings miss and negative profit margin reveal ongoing operational and financial challenges. These issues could hinder future growth and shake investor confidence.
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