Aritzia's latest earnings report showcases impressive growth, exceeding expectations and setting the stage for continued momentum.
In its recent earnings report for Q1 fiscal 2027, Aritzia Inc (ATZ.TO) delivered a stellar performance, surpassing analyst expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of C$0.96, a remarkable 95.9% increase year-over-year. The company also reported significant revenue growth, driven by robust demand across its retail and digital channels.
Recent earnings trend
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Aritzia Inc
ATZ.TO
ATZ.TO
Aritzia Inc
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Market cap
$16.57B
P/E
37.8x
52W high
$174.52
52W low
$70.70
1W change
+3.52%
Beta
1.73
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ATZ
Wall Street analysts forecast ATZ stock price to rise 30.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$189.14
+30.8% Upside
Current Price
C$144.60
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ATZ's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
45.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
43.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-9.6%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$139.72
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$142.95 | C$122.31 – C$167.08 |
| 60 trading days | C$141.33 | C$113.36 – C$176.19 |
| 90 trading days | C$139.72 | C$106.65 – C$183.04 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 10 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-09 | 0.9600 | 0.8700 | +10.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-05-07 | 1.1500 | 1.0300 | +11.7% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-08 | 1.1000 | 0.8900 | +23.6% |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-09 | 0.5900 | 0.3900 | +51.3% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-10 | 0.3600 | 0.3600 | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-05-01 | 0.8300 | 0.7000 | +18.6% |
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Investor takeaway: Aritzia's ability to consistently beat earnings estimates positions it as a strong contender in the specialty retail sector, with promising growth driven by U.S. expansion and digital initiatives. Investors should consider the company's strategic focus on geographic and digital growth as key factors in its long-term success.
EPS Surged by 95.9% Year-Over-Year
Aritzia's adjusted EPS reached C$0.96, significantly outperforming the C$0.87 estimate, highlighting the company's strong operational execution and demand across its product lines.
Bull case
Aritzia's strong Q1 results reflect its effective expansion strategy, especially in the U.S. market, where revenue surged by 55%. The company's digital sales also saw impressive growth, showing that it has successfully adapted to changing consumer preferences. With a raised revenue outlook and plans for new boutique openings, Aritzia is well-positioned for continued success.
Bear case
Despite the strong performance, Aritzia faces potential challenges from tariff pressures and the need to maintain high growth rates after record-breaking previous years. Increased selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses due to ongoing investments in infrastructure and technology may also impact profit margins.
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