The November 8 headline says analysts modestly lowered Arm’s fair value after trimming valuation multiples. It doesn’t name the analysts, give the revised estimate, or explain which assumptions changed. Arm last closed at US$186.90, down 40.68% over the past month.
Investor takeaway: The headline points to a modest reassessment, but the new fair value and the reasons for the change aren’t provided.
Arm closed at US$186.90
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
ARM.US
ARM.US
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$186.84B
P/E
200.7x
52W high
$452.70
52W low
$100.02
1W change
-15.22%
Beta
3.94
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 43 analysts covering ARM · as of Nov 9, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ARM stock price to rise 56.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy4.07 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$273.40
+56.6% Upside
Previously C$290.70 on Nov 2, 2026
Current Price
C$174.62
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (43 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ARM's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
79.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
83.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$146.06
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$164.53 | C$125.00 – C$216.56 |
| 60 trading days | C$155.02 | C$105.11 – C$228.64 |
| 90 trading days | C$146.06 | C$90.75 – C$235.09 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Arm’s last close was 26.1% below its 50-day moving average of US$252.78 and 19.0% below its 200-day moving average of US$230.83. These figures show where the shares have traded recently, but they don’t explain the fair value cut.
Bull case
The supplied figures show ARM.US shares up 52.20% year to date. Arm also reported a 17.1% profit margin.
Bear case
The headline gives no revised fair value or supporting assumptions. The supplied figures also show a 40.68% one-month decline and a P/E of 200.7126.
What happened: analysts trimmed multiples
The November 8 headline says analysts modestly cut Arm’s fair value after trimming valuation multiples. The available information doesn’t name the analysts, give the old or new estimate, or say which multiples changed. It also doesn’t explain the assumptions behind the adjustment, so the headline alone doesn’t show why the estimate was lowered. Visit the ARM.US stock page for more company information.
What the numbers show: a sharp monthly decline
Arm last closed at US$186.90. The shares fell 40.68% over the past month and 15.22% over the past week, but rose 4.74% on the day and 52.20% year to date. Latest volume was 1,165,471 shares, compared with a 20-day average of 5,679,404; the supplied volume comparison is 1.15x. The close was 26.1% below the 50-day moving average of US$252.78 and 19.0% below the 200-day moving average of US$230.83. Arm’s reported P/E was 200.7126, and its market capitalization was about US$186.8 billion. These figures provide market context, but they don’t show what analysts used to change their fair value estimate. See the ARM.US stock page for more company information.
What to watch next: the revised estimate and its basis
The key missing details are the revised fair value, the previous estimate, and which multiples or assumptions analysts changed. That information would clarify the size and reasoning behind the adjustment, but the headline doesn’t provide it. The supplied facts also include a separate November 6 headline saying Arm shares rose 4.01% as data-centre royalties doubled. That was an earlier, separate event and doesn’t explain the November 8 valuation change.
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