ATS Corp's latest earnings report shows a significant miss in EPS, raising questions about its future growth trajectory.
ATS Corp (TSX: ATS) reported its Q1 fiscal 2027 results on August 6, 2026, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.42 by 16.67%. This disappointing performance highlights ongoing challenges in the industrial machinery sector, especially as the company works on a strategic transformation to boost profitability.
Recent earnings trend
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ATS CORP
ATS.TO
ATS.TO
ATS CORP
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.51B
P/E
53.4x
52W high
$49.48
52W low
$25.30
1W change
-4.08%
Beta
1.16
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ATS · as of Oct 1, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ATS stock price to rise 45.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$37.30
+45.5% Upside
Previously C$37.76 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$25.63
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ATS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
25.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
67.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$21.44
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$24.15 | C$22.12 – C$26.36 |
| 60 trading days | C$22.75 | C$20.10 – C$25.76 |
| 90 trading days | C$21.44 | C$18.42 – C$24.95 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 5 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | — | 0.2400 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.3500 | 0.4200 | -16.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-28 | 0.3600 | 0.4400 | -18.2% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-04 | 0.4800 | 0.4400 | +9.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.4500 | 0.4300 | +4.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.4100 | 0.4200 | -2.4% |
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Investor takeaway: Keep an eye on ATS Corp's Fixed Cost Transformation Program and how it affects future earnings, along with the broader market conditions that could impact order bookings and revenue growth.
ATS Corp's EPS Misses Estimates by 16.7%
The company's EPS of $0.35 for Q1 fiscal 2027 was well below the expected $0.42, reflecting a tough operating environment and the need for strategic adjustments.
Bull case
If ATS successfully rolls out its Fixed Cost Transformation Program, it could streamline operations and improve profit margins, potentially leading to better financial performance over time. The company's strong order backlog and focus on high-growth markets like nuclear and radiopharmaceuticals may also drive future revenue growth.
Bear case
The recent earnings miss and declining revenues suggest that ATS may have a tough time regaining momentum in the short term. If order bookings continue to lag, the company could face ongoing pressure on profitability and cash flows, raising concerns about its ability to follow through on its transformation plan.
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