Autocanada's latest earnings report revealed a significant miss against analyst expectations, raising concerns among investors about the company's growth trajectory.
On August 12, 2026, Autocanada Inc (ACQ.TO) reported its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, showing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46. This figure fell short of analysts’ expectations of $0.68, resulting in a surprise of -32.35%. This disappointing performance has sparked discussions regarding the company's financial health and future strategies.
Recent earnings trend
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Autocanada Inc
ACQ.TO
ACQ.TO
Autocanada Inc
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Market cap
$520.05M
P/E
61.0x
52W high
$35.48
52W low
$14.00
1W change
-1.14%
Beta
2.06
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ACQ
Wall Street analysts forecast ACQ stock price to rise 1.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$23.00
+1.9% Upside
Current Price
C$22.58
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ACQ's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
43.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
37.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+21.2%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$24.35
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$23.16 | C$19.93 – C$26.91 |
| 60 trading days | C$23.75 | C$19.20 – C$29.37 |
| 90 trading days | C$24.35 | C$18.77 – C$31.59 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-12 | 0.4600 | 0.6800 | -32.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | -0.1500 | -0.2600 | +42.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-18 | 0.2100 | 0.4300 | -51.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | 0.6800 | 0.7600 | -10.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | 0.9900 | 0.4600 | +115.2% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-14 | 0.6443 | 0.0249 | +2487.6% |
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Investor takeaway: The substantial earnings miss raises questions about Autocanada's operational efficiency and market positioning, especially as it faces increasing competition and market challenges. Investors should closely monitor upcoming quarterly results and strategic initiatives to gauge potential recovery.
EPS Misses Estimates by 32.35%
The reported EPS of $0.46 is not only below the estimate but also represents a significant decline from the previous year’s EPS of $0.99, indicating a concerning trend in profitability.
Bull case
Despite the earnings miss, Autocanada has shown resilience in its operational strategies. Recent acquisitions have expanded its service offerings, and the company is committed to enhancing its luxury collision repair services. Exiting the U.S. market could also help streamline operations and refocus resources effectively.
Bear case
The significant earnings miss suggests potential underlying issues within Autocanada's business model. With a high P/E ratio of 61.03 and a projected revenue decline of -6.0%, investors may need to be cautious as the company navigates a challenging retail environment.
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