Aya Gold & Silver Inc's latest earnings report shows a significant miss, raising concerns among investors about the company's performance trajectory.
Aya Gold & Silver Inc (AYA.TO) recently reported its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, after market close on August 12, 2026. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.23, falling short of the consensus estimate of 0.35 by 34.3%. This continues a trend of disappointing earnings, as Aya has not met estimates in any of its last four quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Aya Gold & Silver Inc
AYA.TO
AYA.TO
Aya Gold & Silver Inc
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Market cap
$5.18B
P/E
43.3x
52W high
$40.16
52W low
$11.45
1W change
-4.92%
Beta
1.70
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AYA
Wall Street analysts forecast AYA stock price to fall 3.7% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$35.57
-3.7% Upside
Current Price
C$36.95
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AYA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
81.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
82.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$44.17
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$39.22 | C$29.61 – C$51.93 |
| 60 trading days | C$41.62 | C$27.98 – C$61.92 |
| 90 trading days | C$44.17 | C$27.16 – C$71.85 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-11 | — | 0.3500 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-12 | 0.2300 | 0.3500 | -34.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | 0.3300 | 0.3800 | -13.2% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-31 | 0.1200 | 0.1700 | -29.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-11 | 0.0900 | 0.0900 | +0.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-14 | 0.0600 | 0.0400 | +50.0% |
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Investor takeaway: With a consistent history of missing earnings estimates, investors may need to reassess their expectations for Aya Gold & Silver. The significant EPS miss could indicate deeper operational challenges or market conditions affecting profitability in the metals and mining sector.
34.3% Earnings Miss
Aya Gold's EPS of 0.23 starkly contrasts with the estimated 0.35, highlighting ongoing difficulties in meeting market expectations.
Bull case
Aya Gold & Silver has strong growth potential, especially with an estimated EPS growth of 557% year-over-year. If the company can stabilize its operations and improve its earnings trajectory, it may draw more investor interest.
Bear case
The ongoing misses on earnings estimates could lead to skepticism among investors and a decline in confidence in management's ability to execute growth plans. Additionally, market volatility in the metals sector may further hinder performance.
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