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Canadian Natural Resources Ltd CNQ Earnings Beat Estimates by 9.0%

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Stocks & ETFs:CNQ.TO

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Canadian Natural Resources Ltd continues its impressive earnings streak, surpassing expectations once again.

In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2026, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) announced earnings per share (EPS) of $2.19, beating the consensus estimate of $2.01 by 9.0%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter that the company has exceeded expectations, showcasing its strong operational performance in a challenging market environment.

Recent earnings trend

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Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

CNQ.TO

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CNQ.TO

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $14.26 (23.80%)
120 day period
$55.39$64.79$74.19Apr 22Jul 17Oct 13

Market cap

$152.94B

P/E

13.2x

Div. yield

3.43%

Div. / share

$2.42

52W high

$74.27

52W low

$39.97

1W change

+8.34%

Beta

0.94

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering CNQ · as of Oct 13, 2026

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast CNQ stock price to fall 1.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Neutral

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$72.90

-1.7% Upside

Previously C$72.57 on Oct 8, 2026

Current Price

C$74.19

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on CNQ's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$53.73C$68.31C$82.88C$97.45C$112.03C$126.60TodayJun 4Aug 10Oct 13Nov 25Jan 8Feb 20

30-Day Vol

27.3%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

30.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$88.69

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$78.74C$71.66 – C$86.52
60 trading daysC$83.57C$73.15 – C$95.48
90 trading daysC$88.69C$75.34 – C$104.41

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 8 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-062.19002.0100+9.0%
2026-03-312026-05-071.17001.0600+10.4%
2025-12-312026-03-050.82000.7000+17.1%
2025-09-302025-11-060.86000.8100+6.2%
2025-06-302025-08-070.71000.6900+2.9%
2025-03-312025-05-081.16001.0800+7.4%
0.00001.09502.1900 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: With a solid earnings report and a history of beating estimates, Canadian Natural Resources remains a strong player in the energy sector, particularly for investors seeking reliable income through dividends and growth potential.

EPS of $2.19 Surpasses Estimates by 9.0%

Canadian Natural Resources' EPS growth of 118.4% year-over-year reflects its strong operational performance amid rising commodity prices.

Bull case

The company's record production levels and impressive financial results position it well for continued growth. Its focus on returning value to shareholders, including regular dividend increases, makes it an attractive option in today’s market.

Bear case

Despite the strong earnings, there are uncertainties surrounding future growth projects and fluctuating oil prices that investors should keep an eye on, especially as the company navigates regulatory challenges.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
🔍 Fact-CheckedEditorial review

⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 7, 2026
Last Updated: September 22, 2026

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