Canadian Tire Corporation's latest earnings report reveals a slight miss on EPS estimates, highlighting the challenges and opportunities facing this retail giant.
Recent earnings trend
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Canadian Tire Corporation Limited
CTC-A.TO
CTC-A.TO
Canadian Tire Corporation Limited
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Market cap
$10.49B
P/E
15.8x
Div. yield
3.58%
Div. / share
$7.17
52W high
$207.40
52W low
$154.67
1W change
-2.58%
Beta
0.97
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CTC-A
Wall Street analysts forecast CTC-A stock price to rise 0.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$198.80
+0.5% Upside
Current Price
C$197.80
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CTC-A's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
20.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
20.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+44.6%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$231.92
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$208.58 | C$194.69 – C$223.45 |
| 60 trading days | C$219.94 | C$199.52 – C$242.45 |
| 90 trading days | C$231.92 | C$205.83 – C$261.32 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 7 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-13 | 3.9400 | 3.9500 | -0.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | 2.0200 | 1.8100 | +11.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 4.4700 | 3.8000 | +17.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 3.7800 | 2.8400 | +33.1% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 3.5700 | 3.9300 | -9.2% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-08 | 2.0000 | 1.2300 | +62.6% |
Canadian Tire Corporation Limited (CTC-A.TO) reported its Q2 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026, revealing a normalized diluted EPS of C$3.94, just shy of the C$3.95 estimate. This marks a 10% increase year-over-year, but the miss has raised questions about the company's performance amidst a challenging retail environment.
Investor takeaway: While Canadian Tire's overall performance showed resilience, the slight earnings miss reflects ongoing challenges in consumer spending and weather-related impacts on sales. Investors should consider the implications for future quarters as the company navigates these headwinds.
Normalized EPS of C$3.94 Misses Estimates by C$0.01
Despite the earnings miss, Canadian Tire's normalized EPS grew by 10% year-over-year, reflecting underlying strength in its business segments.
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Bull case
Canadian Tire is seeing strong growth in its SportChek and Mark's banners, along with a solid rise in e-commerce sales. This suggests that the company is well-positioned to take advantage of current consumer trends. Their focus on customer loyalty and smart investments could lead to further growth down the line.
Bear case
However, the decline in comparable sales at Canadian Tire Retail, driven by bad weather and weak consumer sentiment, raises concerns about the company's ability to keep up its momentum. Additionally, rising operational costs may squeeze profit margins in the coming quarters.
Earnings Overview
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Segment Performance
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Future Outlook
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