Capital Power Corporation's recent earnings report revealed a significant miss on EPS expectations, raising concerns among investors.
On July 29, 2026, Capital Power Corporation (CPX.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings, which fell dramatically short of analyst expectations. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.075, missing the consensus estimate of $0.50 by a staggering 85%. This disappointing result has sparked discussions on the company's future performance and its strategic direction in the evolving energy market.
Recent earnings trend
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Capital Power Corporation
CPX.TO
CPX.TO
Capital Power Corporation
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$10.64B
P/E
118.8x
Div. yield
4.07%
Div. / share
$2.69
52W high
$77.02
52W low
$53.75
1W change
-7.78%
Beta
0.41
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CPX
Wall Street analysts forecast CPX stock price to rise 14.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$77.73
+14.8% Upside
Current Price
C$67.72
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CPX's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
26.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
30.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+14.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$71.21
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$68.86 | C$62.77 – C$75.54 |
| 60 trading days | C$70.03 | C$61.43 – C$79.82 |
| 90 trading days | C$71.21 | C$60.66 – C$83.60 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.0750 | 0.5000 | -85.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 | 0.5300 | 0.5600 | -5.4% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-04 | 1.2800 | 0.5800 | +120.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-29 | 0.9200 | 0.9900 | -7.1% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.4900 | 0.5000 | -2.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-30 | 0.8800 | 0.5700 | +54.4% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should carefully assess Capital Power's latest earnings results and consider the implications of the company's strategic initiatives, particularly its long-term agreements and investments in renewable energy, against the backdrop of its disappointing earnings performance.
EPS of $0.075 vs. Estimate of $0.50
This represents an 85% earnings surprise to the downside, marking a concerning trend for investors who rely on consistent performance metrics.
Bull case
Despite the earnings miss, Capital Power's long-term Energy Supply Agreement with Meta Platforms, Inc. for a data center in Alberta shows potential for growth. The company continues to demonstrate strong fundamentals in its core markets, which could support future profitability as electricity demand increases.
Bear case
The significant EPS miss raises concerns about Capital Power's operational efficiency and cost management. Additionally, the recent net loss and declining profit margins may signal underlying challenges that could impact the company's long-term growth outlook.
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