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Capstone Mining Corp CS Earnings Miss Estimates by 10.0%

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Capstone Mining Corp's latest earnings report shows a disappointing EPS miss, highlighting challenges despite strong operational performance.

On July 30, 2026, Capstone Mining Corp (CS.TO) released its second-quarter earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. The results revealed an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.18, which fell short of analysts' expectations of $0.20, marking a 10% miss. However, the company reported record adjusted EBITDA and significant revenue growth, demonstrating resilience in a tough environment.

Recent earnings trend

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Capstone Mining Corp

CS.TO

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CS.TO

Capstone Mining Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$2.53 (-15.97%)
120 day period
$9.45$12.95$16.44Feb 10May 7Jul 31

Market cap

$10.17B

P/E

15.3x

52W high

$18.04

52W low

$8.21

1W change

+1.37%

Beta

2.17

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering CS

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast CS stock price to rise 26.8% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$16.88

+26.8% Upside

Current Price

C$13.31

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on CS's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$7.79C$12.45C$17.11C$21.77C$26.43C$31.09TodayMar 25May 29Jul 31Sep 12Oct 26Dec 8

30-Day Vol

55.4%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

65.5%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+43.9%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$15.57

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$14.02C$11.58C$16.98
60 trading daysC$14.78C$11.28C$19.36
90 trading daysC$15.57C$11.18C$21.68

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 8 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-290.1900
2026-06-302026-07-300.18000.2000-10.0%
2026-03-312026-04-290.16000.1300+23.1%
2025-12-312026-03-020.13710.1600-14.3%
2025-09-302025-10-300.08000.0400+100.0%
2025-06-302025-07-300.06000.0500+20.0%
0.00000.10000.2000 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: While Capstone's EPS miss may raise concerns, the company's strong operational metrics and strategic initiatives suggest a solid foundation for future growth. Investors should keep an eye on Capstone's ability to navigate current challenges and leverage its growth projects.

EPS Misses Estimates by 10% Despite Record Revenue

Capstone reported record revenue of $739.7 million for Q2 2026, a significant increase from $543.2 million in Q2 2025, illustrating strong operational performance despite missing EPS estimates.

Bull case

Capstone's operational efficiency shines through with record low cash costs and strong production figures, especially from the Mantoverde site. The company is also well-positioned with a pipeline of growth projects that could boost production capacity and profitability in the coming years.

Bear case

The recent EPS miss points to potential operational challenges, particularly at Pinto Valley, which has not performed as expected. Additionally, rising costs for essential inputs like sulfuric acid could squeeze margins, especially given the volatility in commodity prices.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 4, 2026
Last Updated: August 4, 2026

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