Capstone Mining Corp's latest earnings report shows a disappointing EPS miss, highlighting challenges despite strong operational performance.
On July 30, 2026, Capstone Mining Corp (CS.TO) released its second-quarter earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. The results revealed an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.18, which fell short of analysts' expectations of $0.20, marking a 10% miss. However, the company reported record adjusted EBITDA and significant revenue growth, demonstrating resilience in a tough environment.
Recent earnings trend
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Capstone Mining Corp
CS.TO
CS.TO
Capstone Mining Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$12.28B
P/E
18.7x
52W high
$18.04
52W low
$9.15
1W change
+6.49%
Beta
2.18
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CS
Wall Street analysts forecast CS stock price to rise 6.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$17.19
+6.9% Upside
Current Price
C$16.08
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
51.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
62.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+42.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$18.70
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1ฯ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$16.91 | C$14.14 โ C$20.22 |
| 60 trading days | C$17.78 | C$13.81 โ C$22.91 |
| 90 trading days | C$18.70 | C$13.72 โ C$25.50 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 8 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-29 | โ | 0.1900 | โ |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 0.1800 | 0.2000 | -10.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 | 0.1600 | 0.1300 | +23.1% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-02 | 0.1371 | 0.1600 | -14.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-30 | 0.0800 | 0.0400 | +100.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.0600 | 0.0500 | +20.0% |
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Investor takeaway: While Capstone's EPS miss may raise concerns, the company's strong operational metrics and strategic initiatives suggest a solid foundation for future growth. Investors should keep an eye on Capstone's ability to navigate current challenges and leverage its growth projects.
EPS Misses Estimates by 10% Despite Record Revenue
Capstone reported record revenue of $739.7 million for Q2 2026, a significant increase from $543.2 million in Q2 2025, illustrating strong operational performance despite missing EPS estimates.
Bull case
Capstone's operational efficiency shines through with record low cash costs and strong production figures, especially from the Mantoverde site. The company is also well-positioned with a pipeline of growth projects that could boost production capacity and profitability in the coming years.
Bear case
The recent EPS miss points to potential operational challenges, particularly at Pinto Valley, which has not performed as expected. Additionally, rising costs for essential inputs like sulfuric acid could squeeze margins, especially given the volatility in commodity prices.
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