Champion Iron's latest earnings report shows a significant miss, raising concerns among investors.
Recent earnings trend
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Champion Iron Ltd
CIA.TO
CIA.TO
Champion Iron Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.94B
P/E
16.5x
Div. yield
3.36%
Div. / share
$0.12
52W high
$6.11
52W low
$3.33
1W change
-10.57%
Beta
0.60
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CIA
Wall Street analysts forecast CIA stock price to rise 81.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$6.29
+81.2% Upside
Current Price
C$3.47
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CIA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
36.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
37.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$2.90
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$3.27 | C$2.88 – C$3.71 |
| 60 trading days | C$3.08 | C$2.58 – C$3.68 |
| 90 trading days | C$2.90 | C$2.33 – C$3.61 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-28 | — | 0.0600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | -0.0600 | 0.0100 | -700.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-27 | 0.0400 | 0.0500 | -20.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-28 | 0.1200 | 0.1000 | +20.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-29 | 0.1100 | 0.0800 | +37.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-29 | 0.0500 | 0.0100 | +400.0% |
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In its recent earnings report for the first quarter of fiscal 2027, Champion Iron Ltd (CIA.TO) reported an unexpected net loss of $41.5 million, translating to an EPS of -$0.06. This starkly contrasts with analyst estimates of $0.01, marking a staggering 700% miss that has raised eyebrows in the investment community.
Investor takeaway: The substantial earnings miss highlights operational challenges and increased costs, particularly related to freight and production adjustments. Investors should closely monitor the company's next steps, especially with the DRPF project's potential to improve revenue streams in future quarters.
Bull case
Champion Iron has successfully completed the DRPF project, which is expected to boost its operational capabilities and create new revenue opportunities through high-quality iron ore products. The company also has a strong balance sheet with plenty of liquidity, positioning it for growth and resilience amid market fluctuations.
Bear case
The recent earnings miss reveals operational difficulties, including lower sales volumes and rising freight costs. Ongoing geopolitical events affecting shipping and increased costs could continue to squeeze margins, raising concerns about the company's ability to meet future earnings expectations.
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Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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