Conifex Timber Inc has reported a surprising earnings performance, outperforming analyst expectations despite ongoing challenges in the lumber market.
On August 14, 2026, Conifex Timber Inc (CFF.TO) released its second-quarter earnings report, revealing an EPS of -0.23, which surpassed analyst estimates by 17.9%. This marks the third earnings beat in the last four quarters for the company, signaling resilience in a challenging market environment.
Recent earnings trend
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Conifex Timber Inc
CFF.TO
CFF.TO
Conifex Timber Inc
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Market cap
$4.89M
52W high
$0.34
52W low
$0.06
1W change
-7.69%
Beta
0.47
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CFF
Wall Street analysts forecast CFF stock price to rise 233.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$0.40
+233.3% Upside
Current Price
C$0.12
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CFF's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
54.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
103.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$0.14
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$0.13 | C$0.11 – C$0.15 |
| 60 trading days | C$0.14 | C$0.10 – C$0.18 |
| 90 trading days | C$0.14 | C$0.10 – C$0.20 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-14 | -0.2300 | -0.2800 | +17.9% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-15 | -0.2300 | -0.2500 | +8.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-23 | -0.2811 | — | — |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-14 | -0.4075 | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-14 | -0.2036 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-12 | 0.0100 | -0.0700 | +114.3% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should take note of Conifex’s ability to beat EPS estimates, as it reflects potential operational improvements and strategic positioning in the volatile timber market. However, the negative EPS trend and ongoing challenges in revenue generation warrant careful consideration.
EPS Beat by 17.9%: -0.23 vs. -0.28 Estimate
Conifex Timber's EPS of -0.23 represents a notable improvement over the consensus estimate, showcasing the company's efforts to stabilize amidst a turbulent market.
Bull case
The positive earnings surprise shows that Conifex is handling the tough lumber market better than expected. This could boost investor confidence and lead to a rise in stock price as the company rolls out its strategic initiatives.
Bear case
Despite the earnings beat, Conifex's negative EPS and profit margins raise concerns about its long-term viability. Ongoing challenges in the North American lumber market could further impact performance, keeping investor sentiment cautious.
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