Canadian Tire Corporation's latest earnings report reveals a mixed bag of performance amidst challenging market conditions.
Recent earnings trend
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Canadian Tire Corporation Limited
CTC.TO
CTC.TO
Canadian Tire Corporation Limited
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$11.23B
P/E
16.8x
Div. yield
3.36%
Div. / share
$7.17
52W high
$259.42
52W low
$198.41
1W change
+4.90%
Beta
0.97
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CTC
Wall Street analysts forecast CTC stock price to fall 98.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BearishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$4.00
-98.2% Upside
Current Price
C$226.96
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CTC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
25.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
28.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+20.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$244.35
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$232.61 | C$212.78 – C$254.29 |
| 60 trading days | C$238.41 | C$210.18 – C$270.43 |
| 90 trading days | C$244.35 | C$209.40 – C$285.13 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: Limited — historical beat/miss data exists for 100 quarter(s), but no upcoming consensus.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-13 | 3.6536 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-14 | 2.0205 | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-19 | 3.8986 | — | — |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 3.1329 | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 2.0431 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-08 | 0.6674 | — | — |
On August 13, 2026, Canadian Tire Corporation Limited (CTC) reported its second-quarter earnings, showcasing a normalized diluted EPS of C$3.94, up 10% year-over-year. Despite a tough retail environment, the company showed resilience through strategic initiatives and strong sales in certain divisions.
Investor takeaway: For Canadian investors, understanding CTC's earnings performance is crucial, especially as the company navigates fluctuating consumer sentiment and weather-related impacts on sales. The mixed results highlight the need to keep an eye on ongoing strategic investments and the changing retail landscape.
Normalized EPS Growth of 10% Amidst Retail Challenges
Canadian Tire's normalized diluted EPS rose to C$3.94, driven by solid performances in specific banners despite a 0.8% decline in comparable sales for its flagship Canadian Tire Retail segment.
Bull case
CTC is well-positioned for future growth, thanks to strong performances in divisions like SportChek and Mark's. Effective cost management and strategic digital investments are also helping the company adapt as consumer spending patterns stabilize.
Bear case
However, challenges remain. Inconsistent weather can affect seasonal sales, and overall soft consumer sentiment might hinder growth prospects. It's essential to watch how these factors evolve in the coming quarters.
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Earnings Overview
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Segment Performance
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Strategic Initiatives
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Analyst Insights and Price Targets
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Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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