Dollarama continues its strong performance, reporting an earnings surprise that showcases its resilience in a challenging retail landscape.
Recent earnings trend
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Dollarama Inc
DOL.TO
DOL.TO
Dollarama Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$45.50B
P/E
34.0x
Div. yield
0.26%
Div. / share
$0.44
52W high
$209.57
52W low
$163.25
1W change
+1.12%
Beta
0.36
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering DOL
Wall Street analysts forecast DOL stock price to rise 19.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$208.53
+19.5% Upside
Current Price
C$174.56
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on DOL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
25.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
26.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-28.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$157.57
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$168.70 | C$154.61 – C$184.08 |
| 60 trading days | C$163.04 | C$144.12 – C$184.46 |
| 90 trading days | C$157.57 | C$135.47 – C$183.28 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 7 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-09-16 | 1.2900 | 1.2600 | +2.4% |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-06-11 | 1.0500 | 0.9900 | +6.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-03-24 | 1.4300 | 1.4000 | +2.1% |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-12-11 | 1.1700 | 1.1000 | +6.4% |
| 2025-07-31 | 2025-08-27 | 1.1600 | 1.1500 | +0.9% |
| 2025-04-30 | 2025-06-11 | 0.9500 | 0.8400 | +13.1% |
Dollarama Inc (DOL.TO) reported its second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings on September 16, 2026, revealing a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of CAD 1.29, beating analyst estimates of CAD 1.26 by 2.4%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter where the company has exceeded expectations, reflecting its adeptness in navigating the competitive retail environment.
Investor takeaway: With a solid earnings beat and improved guidance, Dollarama demonstrates its ability to capitalize on consumer demand despite economic pressures. Investors should keep an eye on the company's ongoing expansion and cost management strategies as it positions itself for continued growth.
CAD 1.29 EPS vs. CAD 1.26 Estimate
Dollarama's EPS growth of 11.2% year-over-year underscores its ability to maintain profitability while expanding its store footprint.
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Bull case
Dollarama has a strong history of beating earnings estimates. Its solid performance in same-store sales and international expansion puts it in a good spot for future growth. The revised guidance for fiscal 2027 shows that management is confident in keeping this momentum going, even with the current economic uncertainties.
Bear case
However, there are challenges ahead. Rising costs from supply chain issues and the transition in Australia could squeeze margins. Plus, consumer sentiment is still shaky, which might slow down same-store sales growth in the latter half of the fiscal year.
Earnings Overview
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Key Financial Metrics
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Growth Initiatives and Future Outlook
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Analyst Price Targets
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