Analysts are adjusting their fair value estimates for Ferrovial amid concerns over the I24 project.
Ferrovial's stock fair value has decreased as analysts reassess the risks associated with its I24 project bid. This adjustment follows J.P. Morgan's warning about potential downside risks tied to the costly project. The stock closed at US$50.30, reflecting a slight increase of 0.38% for the day, but it has experienced a decline of 21.26% year-to-date.
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Ferrovial SE
FER.US
FER.US
Ferrovial SE
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$36.23B
P/E
27.7x
Div. yield
1.11%
Div. / share
$0.56
52W high
$74.07
52W low
$49.43
1W change
-2.89%
Beta
0.81
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 3 analysts covering FER · as of Oct 13, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FER stock price to rise 44.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy3.67 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$72.57
+44.2% Upside
Previously C$72.77 on Oct 12, 2026
Current Price
C$50.34
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (3 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FER's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
21.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
24.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$42.11
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$47.43 | C$44.07 – C$51.05 |
| 60 trading days | C$44.69 | C$40.27 – C$49.59 |
| 90 trading days | C$42.11 | C$37.07 – C$47.83 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: Investors should monitor how the reassessment of the I24 project could impact Ferrovial's financial outlook.
Last Close: US$50.30, Volume: 500,983 Shares
Ferrovial's recent trading volume was below its 20-day average of 1,935,723 shares, indicating reduced investor interest.
Bull case
Analysts have set an average target price of US$72.57 for Ferrovial, suggesting a potential upside of 44.3%. This indicates that despite current concerns, there is optimism about the stock's recovery if the I24 project progresses positively.
Bear case
The stock has seen a year-to-date decline of 21.26%, reflecting ongoing market concerns about its performance. Investors are cautious due to the uncertainty surrounding the I24 project and its financial implications for Ferrovial.
Analysts Adjust Fair Value Amid I24 Concerns
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Ferrovial's fair value has been reassessed by analysts following concerns regarding the I24 project. J.P. Morgan highlighted the potential downside risks associated with the costly bid, prompting a review of the stock's valuation. The average analyst target price stands at US$72.57, indicating a significant implied upside of 44.3% from the current price. However, with a P/E ratio of 27.66, investors are weighing the risks against the potential reward.
Current Stock Performance and Volume Insights
Ferrovial closed at US$50.30, reflecting a slight increase of 0.38% for the day. However, the stock is down 21.26% year-to-date and has seen a decline of 10.35% over the past month. The trading volume for the day was 500,983 shares, which is only 0.78 times the 20-day average volume of 1,935,723 shares. The stock's price is also below both its 50-day moving average of US$58.45 and its 200-day moving average of US$65.33.
Looking Ahead: Market Reactions and Analyst Targets
As analysts reassess the implications of the I24 project, investors are advised to watch for further updates on the project's status and potential impacts on Ferrovial's financial health. The stock's performance has been volatile, with a 52-week range between US$49.43 and US$74.07. Given the current market sentiment and the recent adjustments to fair value, how Ferrovial navigates the I24 project risks could be crucial for its stock trajectory.
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