Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp's recent earnings report reveals challenges as it falls short of analyst expectations.
Recent earnings trend
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Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp
FC.TO
FC.TO
Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$419.57M
P/E
12.0x
Div. yield
8.15%
Div. / share
$0.94
52W high
$12.08
52W low
$10.79
1W change
-1.81%
Beta
0.80
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FC · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FC stock price to rise 9.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$12.50
+9.5% Upside
Current Price
C$11.42
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
10.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
9.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-28.8%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$10.30
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$11.04 | C$10.64 – C$11.44 |
| 60 trading days | C$10.66 | C$10.13 – C$11.23 |
| 90 trading days | C$10.30 | C$9.67 – C$10.98 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-10 | — | 0.2500 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-13 | 0.2300 | 0.2500 | -8.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | 0.2300 | 0.2500 | -8.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-31 | 0.2370 | 0.2400 | -1.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-04 | 0.2500 | 0.2400 | +4.2% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.2600 | 0.2400 | +8.3% |
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On August 13, 2026, Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp (FC.TO) reported its Q2 2026 earnings, marking a significant moment for investors. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, missing the $0.25 estimate by 8%. This continues a trend where the company has struggled to meet expectations in recent quarters.
Investor takeaway: Despite the earnings miss, Firm Capital Mortgage offers a solid dividend yield of 7.79%, which may attract income-focused investors. However, the declining EPS trend and revenue expectations suggest caution.
EPS Misses by 8% amidst Declining Revenue Expectations
The company's EPS of $0.23 is a 6.5% decline from the same quarter last year, raising concerns for investors.
Bull case
Firm Capital Mortgage has a strong profit margin of 85.81% and consistent dividend payouts, positioning it well for long-term income generation, even with recent earnings disappointments.
Bear case
The company's repeated misses against EPS estimates and a projected decline in revenue growth could signal underlying challenges that may impact future performance.
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Wealth Awesome
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
