Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp reported quarterly EPS of C$0.23, below the C$0.25 estimate. It was the third quarter in a row with an 8% shortfall against estimates.
Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp (TSX: FC) released results after market close on November 5 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. Its EPS of C$0.23 came in 8% below the C$0.25 estimate. The supplied earnings history shows the same result for the June and March 2026 quarters, following a smaller miss in December 2025. The company’s Q3 release and filings are available on its press-release page. The information provided here does not include quarterly revenue or margins.
Recent earnings trend
Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp
FC.TO
FC.TO
Firm Capital Mortgage Invest Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$391.28M
P/E
11.2x
Div. yield
8.85%
Div. / share
$0.94
52W high
$11.91
52W low
$10.28
1W change
+2.11%
Beta
0.80
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FC · as of Oct 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FC stock price to rise 10.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$11.75
+10.3% Upside
Previously C$12.08 on Oct 27, 2026
Current Price
C$10.65
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
17.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
13.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-48.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$8.95
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$10.05 | C$9.45 – C$10.69 |
| 60 trading days | C$9.48 | C$8.69 – C$10.35 |
| 90 trading days | C$8.95 | C$8.04 – C$9.96 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-18 | — | 0.2500 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-05 | 0.2300 | 0.2500 | -8.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-13 | 0.2300 | 0.2500 | -8.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | 0.2300 | 0.2500 | -8.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-31 | 0.2370 | 0.2400 | -1.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-04 | 0.2500 | 0.2400 | +4.2% |
Investor takeaway: The latest result extends a run of earnings estimate misses, but the available Q3 details don’t explain why. Investors can review the company’s FC.TO stock page, including its analyst ratings and statistical price forecast. The stated dividend yield is 8.85%, but that figure alone doesn’t show whether the distribution is sustainable.
C$0.23 EPS versus C$0.25 expected
EPS was 8% below the estimate. The supplied data shows the same C$0.23 actual result and C$0.25 estimate for the June and March 2026 quarters. That makes the latest miss part of a pattern, not a one-off.
Bull case
The average analyst price target is C$11.75, or 10.3% above the supplied last close of C$10.65. Firm Capital also reported trailing 12-month EPS of C$0.95 and a P/E ratio of 11.2. These figures may appeal to income-focused investors, but the earnings misses and lack of Q3 revenue details make the company’s filings worth reviewing.
Bear case
FC has missed the supplied EPS estimate in each of the last four comparable quarters, including three in a row at C$0.23 against estimates of C$0.25. The last close was below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Wealth Awesome’s model also forecasts a lower 90-day average price. Its wide forecast ranges point to uncertainty, not a reliable price target.
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