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Is AtkinsRéalis Group (TSX:ATRL) Undervalued Following Its Pickering Nuclear Contract Wins?

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AtkinsRéalis Group's recent contract wins raise questions about its valuation.

AtkinsRéalis Group Inc has gained attention for its recent contract wins related to the Pickering Nuclear facility, sparking discussions about whether the company's stock is undervalued. The stock closed at C$85.48, down 2.30% on the day, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 5.47%. With a trading volume of 327,782 shares, slightly below the 20-day average of 524,416 shares, this indicates moderate trading activity.

Investor takeaway: Investors should consider how these contract wins might impact AtkinsRéalis' future earnings and market position.

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AtkinsRealis Group Inc

ATRL.TO

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ATRL.TO

AtkinsRealis Group Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $7.88 (-8.45%)
120 day period
$79.85$88.46$97.07Apr 17Jul 14Oct 7

Market cap

$13.66B

P/E

31.5x

Div. yield

0.09%

Div. / share

$0.08

52W high

$106.75

52W low

$79.14

1W change

-1.43%

Beta

0.93

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ATRL · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ATRL stock price to rise 35.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$115.40

+35.2% Upside

Current Price

C$85.38

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ATRL's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$58.10C$69.29C$80.48C$91.67C$102.86C$114.05TodayJun 1Aug 5Oct 7Nov 19Jan 2Feb 14

30-Day Vol

25.7%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

32.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-13.2%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$81.44

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$84.05C$76.91 – C$91.84
60 trading daysC$82.73C$72.98 – C$93.79
90 trading daysC$81.44C$69.85 – C$94.96

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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AtkinsRéalis Closes at C$85.48, Down 2.30%

The stock's performance reflects a continued downward trend, with a year-to-date decline of 5.47%.

Bull case

The new contracts could boost revenues and strengthen the company's market position, potentially supporting analysts' positive outlook.

Bear case

The current stock performance shows a downward trend, raising concerns about the company's ability to effectively capitalize on these opportunities.

Contract Wins Spark Valuation Debate

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AtkinsRéalis Group has secured key contracts related to the Pickering Nuclear facility, prompting investors to question whether the company is undervalued. This comes as the company prepares for its third-quarter earnings call on November 5, 2026. With an average analyst target price of C$115.40, there is a potential upside of 35.0% from the current price, suggesting that the market may have room for growth if the company can leverage these wins effectively.

Stock Performance and Trading Volume

AtkinsRéalis' stock closed at C$85.48, reflecting a decrease of 2.30% on the day. The trading volume was 327,782 shares, which is slightly below the 20-day average of 524,416 shares, indicating moderate trading activity. The stock has shown a year-to-date decline of 5.47% and currently sits within a 52-week trading range of C$79.14 to C$106.75. Additionally, the stock is trading below both its 50-day moving average of C$86.82 and its 200-day moving average of C$89.84.

What’s Next for AtkinsRéalis Group?

Investors will be closely watching the upcoming earnings call and any further developments related to the new contracts. The company's P/E ratio stands at 31.51, with a profit margin of 3.7% and a return on equity of 8.4%. As the market anticipates more details about the impact of these contracts on revenue and profitability, it will be crucial for the company to communicate effectively during the earnings call to reassure investors about its future prospects.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 8, 2026
Last Updated: October 8, 2026

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