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Linamar Corporation LNR Earnings Miss Estimates by 3.4%

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Linamar reported normalized Q3 earnings of C$2.59 per share, below the C$2.68 estimate. Sales rose 21%, and the company generated C$190.3 million in free cash flow.

Linamar Corporation (TSX: LNR) released its third-quarter 2026 results after markets closed on November 4. For the quarter ended September 30, normalized diluted EPS was C$2.59, 3.4% below the C$2.68 estimate. Sales grew, and the company reported record new business wins in key markets. But softer vehicle production, tariffs and weaker agricultural demand continued to weigh on results. For Canadian investors, the quarter shows a diversified manufacturer that is growing, though earnings momentum varies between its Mobility and Industrial businesses.

Recent earnings trend

Linamar Corporation

LNR.TO

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LNR.TO

Linamar Corporation

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $7.76 (-8.13%)
120 day period
$87.61$98.15$108.68May 15Aug 12Nov 5

Market cap

$5.47B

P/E

8.3x

Div. yield

1.96%

Div. / share

$1.77

52W high

$110.26

52W low

$72.85

1W change

+3.17%

Beta

1.33

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering LNR · as of Oct 22, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast LNR stock price to rise 26.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$111.00

+26.7% Upside

Previously C$112.67 on Oct 20, 2026

Current Price

C$87.61

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on LNR's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$50.75C$62.99C$75.23C$87.46C$99.70C$111.94TodayJun 29Sep 2Nov 5Dec 18Jan 31Mar 15

30-Day Vol

28.2%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

33.2%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$73.28

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$82.55C$74.90 – C$90.98
60 trading daysC$77.78C$67.78 – C$89.25
90 trading daysC$73.28C$61.92 – C$86.73

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-042.59002.6800-3.4%
2026-06-302026-08-123.08003.1200-1.3%
2026-03-312026-05-063.28002.8100+16.7%
2025-12-312026-03-042.28001.9900+14.6%
2025-09-302025-11-122.51002.4100+4.1%
2025-06-302025-08-132.81002.7500+2.2%
0.00001.64003.2800 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The EPS miss was modest, but sales growth did not translate into similar earnings growth. Sales rose 21% to C$3.08 billion, while normalized net earnings increased 2.3% to C$153.5 million. Linamar generated C$190.3 million in free cash flow and reported C$2.1 billion in liquidity. Management maintained its outlook for record sales and earnings in 2026, while warning of tariff costs, weak agricultural demand and near-term pressure on Mobility margins. Visit the LNR stock page for more coverage.

C$2.59 normalized EPS, 3.4% below estimate

Linamar has beaten earnings estimates in two of its last four reported quarters. Revenue reached C$3.08 billion, up 21.0% from a year earlier, while normalized net earnings rose 2.3%. The company reported diluted EPS of C$2.51 on a non-normalized basis, compared with normalized diluted EPS of C$2.59.

Bull case

Sales grew in both segments, and Linamar says it gained Mobility market share in every region. Record new business wins in Canada, the U.S. and China could support future growth. The company also generated strong cash flow, reported a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.47x on its earnings call, and renewed its normal course issuer bid. These give Linamar room to invest and return capital. The quarterly dividend remains C$0.32 per share.

Bear case

Sales growth outpaced earnings growth. Mobility operating earnings were C$167.1 million, up from C$161.1 million a year earlier, but normalized Mobility operating earnings slipped to C$164.7 million from C$165.9 million. Industrial normalized operating earnings increased, though tariffs weighed on the segment, and management expects more pressure in Q4. Linamar also cited extended customer shutdowns, weaker vehicle demand and challenging agricultural markets. The next-quarter EPS consensus is C$2.92, based on four analysts, with estimates ranging from C$2.87 to C$3.00.

Results and cash flow

Linamar’s normalized diluted EPS was C$2.59, 3.4% below the C$2.68 estimate and 3.2% above the C$2.51 reported a year earlier. Sales rose 21.0% to C$3.08 billion, while normalized net earnings increased 2.3% to C$153.5 million. On a non-normalized basis, diluted EPS was C$2.51 and net earnings were C$148.3 million. The company generated C$190.3 million in free cash flow and reported C$2.1 billion in liquidity. The recent earnings trend table shows results by quarter.

Segment performance

Industrial sales rose 22.8% to C$761.3 million, and normalized operating earnings increased 5.8% to C$65.3 million. Linamar linked the growth to demand for access equipment and market-share gains in some agricultural products, despite a weaker market.

Mobility sales rose 20.4% to C$2.31 billion. Linamar reported record new business wins over the past 12 months in Canada, the U.S. and China. However, normalized Mobility operating earnings fell to C$164.7 million from C$165.9 million. The company cited customer shutdowns, lower production volumes and product mix. Metal surcharge pass-throughs and foreign exchange increased reported sales but did not add as much to earnings, putting pressure on margins.

Outlook and analyst estimates

Management maintained its outlook for record sales and earnings in 2026 and expects further record results next year. It also warned of Q4 pressure from Industrial seasonality, tariffs, continued agricultural weakness and lower-than-normal Mobility margins.

The next-quarter EPS consensus is C$2.92, with estimates ranging from C$2.87 to C$3.00 from four analysts. The estimate has edged down from C$2.94 over the past 30 days. Year-ago EPS was C$2.51, so the consensus points to 16.2% growth. Revenue consensus is C$2.94 billion, implying 15.8% growth.

The average analyst price target is C$111.00, compared with the last close of C$87.61, an implied increase of 26.7%. The displayed consensus label is bullish based on the target comparison, not a formal rating.

The Wealth Awesome price forecast is based on a statistical model, not investment advice. Its 90-day mean is C$73.28. The 68% range is C$61.92–C$86.73, and the 95% range is C$52.32–C$102.64. These estimates are uncertain and are not price targets.

Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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Published: November 6, 2026
Last Updated: November 6, 2026

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