
Microchip Technology's stock is currently viewed as fully valued based on cash flow metrics.
Microchip Technology Inc's stock closed at US$75.63, down 3.99% for the day. Over the past week, the stock has increased by 0.32%, and it has risen by 5.19% over the past month. Year-to-date, the stock has appreciated by 22.02%.
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Microchip Technology Inc
MCHP.US
MCHP.US
Microchip Technology Inc
Market cap
$44.12B
P/E
119.5x
Div. yield
2.23%
Div. / share
$1.82
52W high
$104.75
52W low
$47.28
1W change
+0.32%
Beta
1.76
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 26 analysts covering MCHP · as of Oct 5, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast MCHP stock price to rise 38.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy4.46 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$107.84
+38.2% Upside
Current Price
C$78.02
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (26 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on MCHP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
36.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
56.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-43.8%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$66.73
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$74.06 | C$65.34 – C$83.94 |
| 60 trading days | C$70.30 | C$58.89 – C$83.92 |
| 90 trading days | C$66.73 | C$53.72 – C$82.89 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: Investors should consider the implications of the cash flow valuation as they assess their positions in Microchip Technology.
Microchip Technology Closes at US$75.63, Down 3.99%
With a volume of 2,707,875 shares traded, Microchip's activity was 1.10 times its 20-day average volume, reflecting notable interest despite the price drop.
Bull case
Analysts have set an average target price of US$107.84 for Microchip Technology, suggesting a potential upside of 42.6% from its last close.
Bear case
Concerns arise from the stock's P/E ratio of 119.5 and a profit margin of 9.3%, which may indicate that its current valuation is high in a fluctuating market.
Current Valuation Assessment
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Microchip Technology's stock is assessed as fully valued based on its cash flow metrics. The last close was US$75.63, reflecting a 3.99% decline for the day. With a P/E ratio of 119.5, investors are paying a premium for its earnings potential. The stock is currently trading 0.4% below its 50-day moving average of US$75.91 and 4.3% below its 200-day moving average of US$79.05.
Trading Volume and Market Activity
On the trading day, Microchip Technology experienced a volume of 2,707,875 shares, which is 1.10 times its 20-day average volume of 8,111,928 shares. This level of trading activity indicates notable interest in the stock, despite the day’s price drop. The stock has shown a 5.19% gain over the past month and a year-to-date increase of 22.02%. It is currently within 49% of its 52-week range, which has been between US$47.28 and US$104.75.
What to Watch Moving Forward
Investors should keep an eye on upcoming earnings reports and any changes in analyst ratings. The average analyst target remains at US$107.84, suggesting a potential upside of 42.6%. The stock's high P/E ratio and profit margin of 9.3% may lead to increased scrutiny regarding its valuation. As the market reacts to the cash flow assessment, it could shape trading momentum in the near term.
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