Mineros SA's recent earnings report revealed a significant miss against analyst expectations, raising questions about the company's near-term performance.
On August 6, 2026, Mineros SA (MSA.TO) reported its latest earnings, showing an EPS of CA$0.17, which fell short of the estimated CA$0.21 by 19.05%. This miss continues a trend of volatility in the company's earnings, marked by both significant beats and misses in recent quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Mineros SA
MSA.TO
MSA.TO
Mineros SA
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.87B
P/E
10.5x
Div. yield
1.09%
Div. / share
$0.10
52W high
$10.09
52W low
$3.94
1W change
+14.46%
Beta
1.24
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering MSA · as of Sep 23, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast MSA stock price to rise 9.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$11.01
+9.5% Upside
Previously C$10.97 on Sep 21, 2026
Current Price
C$10.05
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on MSA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
39.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
58.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$12.01
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$10.67 | C$9.30 – C$12.23 |
| 60 trading days | C$11.32 | C$9.33 – C$13.74 |
| 90 trading days | C$12.01 | C$9.48 – C$15.23 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | — | 0.1900 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.1700 | 0.2100 | -19.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.3000 | 0.3300 | -9.1% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.0300 | 0.2300 | -87.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.1800 | 0.0600 | +200.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-12 | 0.1500 | 0.0700 | +114.3% |
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Investor takeaway: Despite the earnings miss, Mineros SA's stock has shown resilience, with a market cap of approximately CA$2.35 billion. Investors should consider the company's historical performance and upcoming consensus estimates as they evaluate potential risks and opportunities.
Bull case
The bullish case for Mineros SA focuses on its potential for recovery in the next quarter, backed by a consensus EPS estimate of CA$0.22 and projected revenue growth of 24.6%. The company's recent addition to the S&P/TSX Global Mining Index may also boost its visibility and attract more institutional investment.
Bear case
On the other hand, the bear case highlights the recent earnings miss and a trend of disappointing EPS results over the last few quarters. Investors may worry about the company's ability to maintain profitability amid fluctuating metal prices and operational challenges.
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