
New Pacific Metals Corp's recent earnings report shows a significant miss in EPS estimates, raising concerns about its financial future.
New Pacific Metals Corp (NUAG.TO) released its latest earnings on September 9, 2026, for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. The results were disappointing, with an earnings per share (EPS) of -0.0138, which is 38% lower than the estimated -0.01. This miss could indicate broader challenges as the company navigates the volatile metals and mining sector.
Recent earnings trend
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New Pacific Metals Corp
NUAG.TO
NUAG.TO
New Pacific Metals Corp
Market cap
$1.59B
52W high
$10.48
52W low
$2.80
1W change
-12.58%
Beta
2.56
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering NUAG
Wall Street analysts forecast NUAG stock price to rise 3.3% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$8.83
+3.3% Upside
Current Price
C$8.55
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on NUAG's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
74.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
76.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$10.22
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$9.07 | C$7.01 – C$11.74 |
| 60 trading days | C$9.63 | C$6.69 – C$13.86 |
| 90 trading days | C$10.22 | C$6.54 – C$15.97 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-09-09 | -0.0138 | -0.0100 | -38.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-11 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | +0.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-07 | -0.0060 | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-09-03 | -0.0072 | -0.0100 | +28.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-07 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | +0.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious after this earnings miss, as it suggests potential operational hurdles. The company's recent performance and analyst forecasts indicate that while there is potential for recovery, the road ahead may be challenging.
EPS Misses by 38%: -0.0138 vs. -0.01 Estimate
This earnings report highlights a troubling trend for New Pacific Metals, as the company continues to struggle with profitability—a stark contrast to its historical EPS figures.
Bull case
Even with the earnings miss, New Pacific Metals has a strong working capital position of $39.28 million and has recently entered community agreements that could support future project development. The company has a track record of managing market fluctuations, which might create opportunities for recovery.
Bear case
The significant earnings miss could point to deeper operational issues, and with only one earnings beat in the last four quarters, investor confidence may be declining. Additionally, the lack of consistent revenue generation raises concerns about the company's long-term viability in a competitive market.
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