Northland Power Inc. has delivered an impressive earnings surprise, showcasing its strength in the renewable energy sector.
In its latest earnings report, Northland Power Inc. (NPI.TO) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.1415, significantly surpassing the estimated $0.09 by 57.22%. This marks the third time in the last four quarters that the company has exceeded expectations, demonstrating its ability to overcome challenges in the renewable energy landscape.
Recent earnings trend
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Northland Power Inc.
NPI.TO
NPI.TO
Northland Power Inc.
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Market cap
$5.67B
Div. yield
4.77%
Div. / share
$1.04
52W high
$25.25
52W low
$15.51
1W change
+2.51%
Beta
0.62
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering NPI
Wall Street analysts forecast NPI stock price to rise 16.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$25.18
+16.4% Upside
Current Price
C$21.63
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on NPI's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
23.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
22.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-25.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$19.75
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$20.99 | C$19.34 – C$22.77 |
| 60 trading days | C$20.36 | C$18.14 – C$22.85 |
| 90 trading days | C$19.75 | C$17.15 – C$22.75 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-12 | 0.1415 | 0.0900 | +57.2% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | 0.1900 | 0.5200 | -63.5% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-25 | 0.4800 | 0.4000 | +20.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | 0.3200 | 0.1000 | +220.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-13 | 0.0300 | 0.0800 | -62.5% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-13 | 0.6000 | 0.4800 | +25.0% |
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Investor takeaway: For Canadian investors, Northland Power’s strong earnings and ongoing construction projects suggest a positive outlook, especially as global demand for renewable energy continues to grow.
EPS Surprises by 57.22%, Strong Operational Performance
Northland Power achieved an EPS of $0.1415, a notable increase from the estimated $0.09, reflecting strong operational efficiency in a competitive sector.
Bull case
Northland Power is well-positioned for growth with its ongoing construction projects, including the Baltic Power and Hai Long offshore wind projects. These initiatives, combined with solid operational performance, are likely to generate significant cash flow in the coming years.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings report, Northland faces challenges such as variable offshore wind resources and potential regulatory hurdles that could affect its future performance and profitability.
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