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Stocks

Open Text Corp OTEX Earnings Beat Estimates by 18.3%

By Wealth Awesome -

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Open Text Corp delivers impressive earnings, significantly surpassing expectations in its latest report.

Open Text Corp (OTEX.TO) recently announced its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings, showcasing a strong performance that exceeded analyst expectations. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23, beating the consensus estimate of $1.04 by 18.3%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter where Open Text has outperformed EPS estimates, reflecting a consistent trend of solid financial management and operational execution.

Recent earnings trend

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Open Text Corp

OTEX.TO

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OTEX.TO

Open Text Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$2.53 (7.55%)
120 day period
$28.34$32.75$37.16Feb 13May 12Aug 6

Market cap

$8.73B

P/E

12.4x

Div. yield

2.93%

Div. / share

$1.09

52W high

$54.31

52W low

$27.31

1W change

+1.44%

Beta

1.03

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering OTEX

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast OTEX stock price to fall 12.0% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bearish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$31.70

-12.0% Upside

Current Price

C$36.02

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on OTEX's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$22.86C$32.55C$42.24C$51.93C$61.62C$71.31TodayMar 30Jun 3Aug 6Sep 18Nov 1Dec 14

30-Day Vol

45.1%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

41.9%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+32.1%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$40.39

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$37.42C$32.03C$43.72
60 trading daysC$38.88C$31.20C$48.44
90 trading daysC$40.39C$30.86C$52.88

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 10 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-061.23001.0400+18.3%
2026-03-312026-05-071.01000.9200+9.8%
2025-12-312026-02-051.13001.0300+9.7%
2025-09-302025-11-051.05000.9900+6.1%
2025-06-302025-08-070.97000.8300+16.9%
2025-03-312025-04-300.82000.7600+7.9%
0.00000.61501.2300 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Investors should note Open Text's solid performance in cloud revenue and profitability, despite challenges in the legacy segments. The company’s strategic investments in AI and sales capacity could boost future growth, but caution is warranted given the expected revenue decline in fiscal 2027.

Open Text's Q4 EPS of $1.23 Surpasses Estimates by 18.3%

The company's reported EPS of $1.23 not only beats the estimate of $1.04 but also represents a 26.8% year-over-year increase, highlighting its operational strength and improved profitability.

Bull case

Open Text's cloud revenue grew by 10.7% year-over-year, and its profitability metrics saw significant improvements, including a remarkable 439.9% increase in GAAP net income. This highlights the company's potential for sustained growth. By focusing on expanding its AI capabilities and cloud offerings, Open Text could increase its market share and generate higher recurring revenues.

Bear case

Despite the positive earnings report, Open Text faces challenges ahead. The revenue outlook for fiscal 2027 appears cautious due to divestitures and foreign currency impacts. Additionally, a decline in customer support revenue and lower cloud renewal rates may signal potential difficulties in maintaining growth momentum.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 7, 2026
Last Updated: August 7, 2026

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