Peyto Exploration & Development Corp has once again exceeded earnings expectations, showcasing its strong operational performance despite challenging market conditions.
Recent earnings trend
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Peyto Exploration&Development Corp
PEY.TO
PEY.TO
Peyto Exploration&Development Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$4.71B
P/E
9.6x
Div. yield
5.75%
Div. / share
$1.34
52W high
$28.28
52W low
$17.32
1W change
-2.60%
Beta
0.30
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering PEY · as of Sep 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast PEY stock price to rise 21.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$27.68
+21.0% Upside
Previously C$27.77 on Sep 21, 2026
Current Price
C$22.88
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on PEY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
21.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
24.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-22.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$21.13
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$22.28 | C$20.70 – C$23.98 |
| 60 trading days | C$21.69 | C$19.55 – C$24.08 |
| 90 trading days | C$21.13 | C$18.60 – C$24.00 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-09 | — | 0.5600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-10 | 0.5200 | 0.5000 | +4.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | 0.8218 | 0.7950 | +3.4% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-10 | 0.6100 | 0.6000 | +1.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | 0.4500 | 0.4700 | -4.3% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-12 | 0.4300 | 0.4800 | -10.4% |
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On August 10, 2026, Peyto Exploration & Development Corp (PEY.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.52, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.50 by 4%. This marks the third earnings beat in the last four quarters, reflecting the company's resilience in the fluctuating energy market.
Investor takeaway: Investors should note Peyto's consistent ability to exceed earnings expectations, which bodes well for its operational strategy and market positioning. The company's focus on reducing debt and enhancing production capabilities positions it favorably for future growth.
Peyto's Q2 2026 EPS Surpasses Estimates by 4% with Strong Production Growth
Peyto generated C$227.7 million in funds from operations, marking a 15% increase compared to the previous year, despite facing seasonal disruptions and fluctuating gas prices.
Bull case
Peyto's production is on the rise, showing a 10% year-over-year increase in volumes. The company's efforts to improve liquids recovery are strong signs of its operational strength. Plus, Peyto is committed to reducing debt and increasing dividends, which indicates solid financial health.
Bear case
However, the energy sector is known for its volatility, and Peyto's reliance on natural gas prices could be a risk for its future performance. The recent dip in share price and challenges from a wet spring and early summer might also affect how investors feel about the company.
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