Pollard Banknote reported quarterly EPS of C$0.31, well below the C$2.90 estimate in the earnings calendar. It has now missed estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters, raising questions about the recent weakness.
Pollard Banknote Limited (TSX: PBL) released results after the market closed on November 6 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. Calendar data lists EPS of C$0.31 against an estimate of C$2.90, an 89.3% shortfall. The company missed estimates in three of its last four reported quarters and matched them in the other. The data provided doesn’t include quarterly revenue or margins, so it doesn’t show what drove the latest miss.
Recent earnings trend
Pollard Banknote Limited
PBL.TO
PBL.TO
Pollard Banknote Limited
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$441.14M
P/E
16.5x
Div. yield
1.23%
Div. / share
$0.20
52W high
$20.70
52W low
$15.61
1W change
-0.61%
Beta
0.81
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering PBL · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast PBL stock price to rise 74.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$28.50
+74.8% Upside
Current Price
C$16.30
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on PBL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
13.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
22.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-21.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$15.10
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$15.89 | C$15.17 – C$16.65 |
| 60 trading days | C$15.49 | C$14.51 – C$16.54 |
| 90 trading days | C$15.10 | C$13.94 – C$16.37 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-17 | — | 0.4800 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-06 | 0.3100 | 2.9000 | -89.3% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-12 | 0.4000 | 0.4000 | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | 0.1300 | 0.3900 | -66.7% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-10 | 0.1700 | 0.3900 | -56.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | 0.4000 | 0.5200 | -23.1% |
Investor takeaway: The miss was large, but the C$2.90 estimate is unusually high. The percentage shortfall alone doesn’t explain the quarter. EPS was C$0.31, compared with C$0.17 a year earlier. The next-period consensus is C$0.59, based on one analyst, suggesting expected year-over-year growth. With only one estimate, that forecast is less reliable. Canadian investors will want to see whether future company disclosures explain the earnings drivers and point to a recovery. PBL.TO closed at C$16.30, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
C$0.31 quarterly EPS
Calendar data shows actual EPS of C$0.31 against an estimate of C$2.90, a reported 89.31% miss. That estimate is far above the next-period consensus of C$0.59. Investors should keep the two periods separate and review the company’s full results for context.
Bull case
EPS of C$0.31 was below the calendar estimate and the year-ago figure of C$0.37. However, the next-period consensus points to expected EPS growth of 59.5% year over year. Revenue consensus for that period is C$168.09 million, with estimated growth of 7.5%.
A supplemental headline says Pollard declared a C$0.05-per-share dividend. Company news headlines also say its Oklahoma Lottery digital engagement ecosystem launched on time in September. These details provide business context, but the data here doesn’t show how they affected quarterly earnings.
Bear case
Pollard missed EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters: by 66.7% in March, 56.4% in December, and 89.3% in September. June was in line. The latest close of C$16.30 was below the 50-day moving average of C$16.82 and the 200-day average of C$17.61. The shares also fell 3.49% over one month.
The snapshot lists a 4.49% profit margin and trailing EPS of C$0.99. Without quarterly revenue and margin details, investors can’t tell from this data whether the latest miss reflects a temporary issue or a longer-term operating challenge.
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