Richelieu Hardware's latest earnings report shows a significant miss on EPS estimates, raising questions about the company's growth amid market challenges.
Recent earnings trend
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Richelieu Hardware Ltd.
RCH.TO
RCH.TO
Richelieu Hardware Ltd.
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Market cap
$1.95B
P/E
23.6x
Div. yield
1.70%
Div. / share
$0.62
52W high
$44.65
52W low
$32.02
1W change
+1.81%
Beta
0.90
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering RCH
Wall Street analysts forecast RCH stock price to rise 5.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$38.50
+5.4% Upside
Current Price
C$36.53
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on RCH's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
32.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
26.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-24.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$33.53
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$35.50 | C$31.78 – C$39.66 |
| 60 trading days | C$34.50 | C$29.50 – C$40.35 |
| 90 trading days | C$33.53 | C$27.67 – C$40.62 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-09 | 0.4200 | 0.4700 | -10.6% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-09 | 0.2600 | 0.3000 | -13.3% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-15 | 0.4600 | 0.4600 | +0.0% |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-09 | 0.4300 | 0.4100 | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-10 | 0.4100 | 0.4200 | -2.4% |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-10 | 0.2500 | 0.3300 | -24.2% |
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On July 9, 2026, Richelieu Hardware Ltd. (RCH.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings for the fiscal period ending May 31, 2026. The results fell short of analyst expectations, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42, missing estimates by 10.6%. This report comes against a backdrop of market pressures and ongoing acquisitions, which are key to the company’s strategy.
Investor takeaway: Investors should consider the recent EPS miss as a potential sign of underlying challenges, especially given the company's reliance on acquisitions for growth and pressures from tariffs and a weak Ontario market. The upcoming earnings consensus suggests a cautious outlook moving forward.
EPS Miss of 10.6%
Richelieu's EPS of $0.42 compared to an estimate of $0.47 reflects ongoing challenges, with only one beat in the last four quarters, indicating potential instability in earnings performance.
Bull case
Despite the recent earnings miss, Richelieu Hardware's focus on acquisitions and its ability to grow sales in both Canadian and U.S. markets could set the stage for recovery. If the company can effectively tackle market challenges, it may still show resilience in future quarters.
Bear case
The significant miss on EPS estimates, along with pressures from tariffs and a struggling Ontario market, raises concerns about Richelieu's operational efficiency and ability to maintain growth. Investors should keep a close eye on upcoming earnings to determine if these issues are temporary or indicative of deeper problems.
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