Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. reported disappointing earnings, missing analyst expectations significantly in the latest quarter.
Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. (SOIL.TO) released its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, after market close on July 29, 2026. The results showed a significant shortfall in earnings per share (EPS), with a negative surprise of 27.85%. This raises concerns about the company’s operational efficiency and future outlook in the competitive energy sector.
Recent earnings trend
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Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.
SOIL.TO
SOIL.TO
Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$966.15M
P/E
22.2x
52W high
$7.69
52W low
$2.23
1W change
-3.45%
Beta
0.41
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering SOIL
Wall Street analysts forecast SOIL stock price to rise 57.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$8.36
+57.1% Upside
Current Price
C$5.32
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on SOIL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
62.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
65.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$4.45
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$5.01 | C$4.03 – C$6.23 |
| 60 trading days | C$4.72 | C$3.47 – C$6.42 |
| 90 trading days | C$4.45 | C$3.06 – C$6.48 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | — | 0.3600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.5700 | 0.7900 | -27.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | -0.5300 | -0.3800 | -39.5% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-11 | 0.1600 | 0.0300 | +433.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.0200 | 0.1400 | -85.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.4600 | 0.2800 | +64.3% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should keep a close eye on Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.'s operational metrics and upcoming analyst expectations, especially given the substantial earnings miss and its potential impact on the stock price in a volatile market.
Earnings Miss of 27.85% Raises Concerns
Saturn's EPS of $0.57 fell short of the $0.79 estimate, highlighting ongoing challenges within the company despite a history of production growth.
Bull case
If Saturn can bounce back from this earnings miss, improve its operational efficiency, and take advantage of rising oil prices, it could regain investor confidence and push its stock price higher.
Bear case
On the other hand, if earnings misses and operational challenges continue, the share price may decline further, especially if the market remains doubtful about the company's ability to meet future expectations.
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