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SoFi Stock Has Sunk This Year. Why This Analyst Sees 64% Upside.

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:SOFI.US

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SoFi Technologies Inc. faces a challenging year, but analyst optimism suggests potential recovery.

SoFi Technologies Inc. has experienced a significant decline in its stock price this year, with a year-to-date drop of 44.54%. Despite this downturn, an analyst has projected a potential 64% upside for the stock, sparking interest among investors.

Investor takeaway: Investors should consider the potential for recovery as indicated by analyst projections amidst current market challenges.

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SoFi Technologies Inc.

SOFI.US

Full stock page →

SOFI.US

SoFi Technologies Inc.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $3.83 (-20.09%)
120 day period
$15.23$17.20$19.18Apr 22Jul 20Oct 12

Market cap

$20.41B

P/E

31.6x

52W high

$32.73

52W low

$14.88

1W change

-4.33%

Beta

2.33

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 24 analysts covering SOFI · as of Oct 12, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise 33.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Hold

3.33 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$20.33

+33.5% Upside

Current Price

C$15.23

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (24 analysts)

Strong Buy 5
Buy 4
Hold 11
Sell 2
Strong Sell 2
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on SOFI's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$8.14C$10.50C$12.85C$15.21C$17.56C$19.92TodayJun 4Aug 10Oct 12Nov 24Jan 7Feb 19

30-Day Vol

34.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

50.0%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$12.74

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$14.35C$12.72 – C$16.19
60 trading daysC$13.52C$11.40 – C$16.03
90 trading daysC$12.74C$10.34 – C$15.70

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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SoFi's Year-to-Date Decline: 44.54%

With a current price of US$15.17, SoFi's stock remains well below its 52-week high of US$32.73.

Bull case

Analysts are optimistic about a recovery, supported by SoFi's strong market cap and profit margin. These factors suggest that there may be room for growth, especially if market conditions improve.

Bear case

The stock has struggled significantly this year, and current performance indicators show a continued downward trend. Investors should be cautious as the stock's recent performance raises concerns about its stability.

SoFi's Stock Decline

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SoFi Technologies Inc. has seen its stock price decline significantly this year, with a year-to-date decrease of 44.54%. The stock closed at US$15.17, reflecting a daily drop of 3.61% and a weekly decline of 4.33%. Over the past month, the stock has fallen by 12.07%. The trading volume for the day was 9,841,254 shares, which is 0.86 times the 20-day average volume of 46,655,976 shares, indicating lower trading activity compared to previous weeks.

Analyst Projections

Despite the current struggles, an analyst has projected a 64% upside for SoFi's stock, which could bring it closer to the average analyst target of US$20.33. This target suggests a potential recovery from the stock's current price, indicating an implied move of +34.0% from its last close. The stock's P/E ratio stands at 31.6, reflecting the valuation in the context of its earnings. However, the stock is trading below both its 50-day moving average of US$17.39 and its 200-day moving average of US$18.67, which are indicative of a bearish trend.

Market Context and Future Outlook

SoFi's stock has been under pressure, with a 52-week trading range of US$14.88 to US$32.73, indicating a volatile performance. Currently, the stock is positioned at 2% of its 52-week range, suggesting it is near its lower end. The company has a market capitalization of approximately US$20.41 billion and a profit margin of 14.9%, which are positive indicators for potential recovery. Investors should watch for any changes in market sentiment or financial performance that could influence the stock's recovery and the analyst's outlook.

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Wealth Awesome
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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 13, 2026
Last Updated: October 13, 2026

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