Spin Master Corp has surprised investors with impressive earnings, showing its ability to bounce back from previous losses.
In its Q2 2026 financial results, Spin Master Corp (TOY.TO) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.0934, far exceeding analyst estimates of a loss of $0.10. This represents a remarkable surprise of 193.4%. It’s the fourth consecutive quarter that the company has outperformed expectations, indicating a strong recovery.
Recent earnings trend
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Spin Master Corp
TOY.TO
TOY.TO
Spin Master Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.35B
Div. yield
1.50%
Div. / share
$0.35
52W high
$24.13
52W low
$16.91
1W change
-7.65%
Beta
0.57
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TOY
Wall Street analysts forecast TOY stock price to rise 28.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$26.90
+28.9% Upside
Current Price
C$20.87
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TOY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
45.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
40.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+7.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$21.45
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$21.06 | C$18.00 – C$24.65 |
| 60 trading days | C$21.26 | C$17.02 – C$26.55 |
| 90 trading days | C$21.45 | C$16.34 – C$28.17 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 6 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 0.0934 | -0.1000 | +193.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-30 | -0.2400 | -0.3000 | +20.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.4100 | 0.3900 | +5.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-30 | 1.1100 | 1.0500 | +5.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-31 | -0.0700 | 0.0800 | -187.5% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-30 | -0.1200 | -0.1800 | +33.3% |
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Investor takeaway: For Canadian investors, Spin Master's latest earnings report signals not just a turnaround but also points to potential future growth, especially with its focus on innovation and new product lines.
EPS Surprises Estimates by 193.4%
Spin Master Corp's reported EPS of $0.0934 not only beat the consensus estimate of -$0.10 but also shows a significant improvement from a loss of $0.46 per share in the same quarter last year.
Bull case
Strong sales from core brands like PAW Patrol and Monster Jam, along with the launch of new products, position Spin Master for ongoing growth. The company's dedication to innovation and strategic investments in collectibles and trading cards could further strengthen its market presence.
Bear case
Even with the positive earnings report, there are concerns about the overall economic landscape and challenges in sustaining revenue growth. The competitive nature of the toy industry also poses risks that could affect future performance.
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Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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