Spin Master Corp's recent earnings report showcased a remarkable turnaround, exceeding expectations significantly.
Spin Master Corp (TSX: TOY) reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on July 29, 2026, delivering a surprising positive earnings per share (EPS) of $0.09, compared to analysts' expectations of a loss of $0.08. This represents a staggering surprise of 212.5%. The company's performance indicates a strong recovery, particularly in its toy segment, driven by robust brand sales and strategic management decisions.
Recent earnings trend
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Spin Master Corp
TOY.TO
TOY.TO
Spin Master Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.07B
Div. yield
1.64%
Div. / share
$0.34
52W high
$24.13
52W low
$16.91
1W change
-10.09%
Beta
0.57
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TOY
Wall Street analysts forecast TOY stock price to rise 31.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$27.07
+31.5% Upside
Current Price
C$20.58
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TOY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
45.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
40.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+4.9%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$20.95
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$20.70 | C$17.67 – C$24.25 |
| 60 trading days | C$20.82 | C$16.65 – C$26.04 |
| 90 trading days | C$20.95 | C$15.93 – C$27.55 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 6 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-29 | — | 0.9800 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.0900 | -0.0800 | +212.5% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-30 | -0.2400 | -0.3000 | +20.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.4100 | 0.3900 | +5.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-30 | 1.1100 | 1.0500 | +5.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-31 | -0.0700 | 0.0800 | -187.5% |
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Investor takeaway: For Canadian investors, Spin Master's latest earnings reveal a company on a path to recovery, with solid growth in its core toy business. This could indicate potential for future stock appreciation as the company continues to capitalize on popular franchises like PAW Patrol.
EPS Surprises by 212.5% in Q2 2026
Spin Master reported an EPS of $0.09, a significant improvement compared to the forecasted loss of $0.08, showcasing its ability to navigate market challenges effectively.
Bull case
The earnings surprise reflects strong management strategies and a solid lineup of core brands that resonate with consumers. The upcoming release of the PAW Patrol movie is expected to further boost sales, making Spin Master a potentially lucrative investment in the consumer discretionary sector.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings report, challenges remain. The company faces potential margin pressure due to rising toy costs and increased marketing expenses. Additionally, the pulled-forward orders from Q2 could negatively impact Q3 results, raising concerns about sustained growth.
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Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
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