Spin Master’s latest quarterly earnings beat expectations, extending its run to four straight quarters. But its trailing profitability remains under pressure.
Spin Master Corp. (TSX: TOY) reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, before the market opened on October 29. Calendar data shows earnings per share of C$1.03, compared with the C$0.96 estimate—a 7.3% beat. This is the fourth consecutive comparable quarter in which EPS topped expectations.
Recent earnings trend
Spin Master Corp
TOY.TO
TOY.TO
Spin Master Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.16B
Div. yield
1.64%
Div. / share
$0.34
52W high
$23.98
52W low
$16.81
1W change
-1.97%
Beta
0.48
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TOY · as of Oct 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TOY stock price to rise 27.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$26.69
+27.4% Upside
Previously C$26.80 on Oct 29, 2026
Current Price
C$20.95
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TOY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
20.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
31.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+7.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$21.51
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$21.14 | C$19.73 – C$22.64 |
| 60 trading days | C$21.32 | C$19.34 – C$23.51 |
| 90 trading days | C$21.51 | C$19.09 – C$24.24 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 6 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-29 | 1.0300 | 0.9600 | +7.3% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.0900 | -0.0800 | +212.5% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-30 | -0.2400 | -0.3000 | +20.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.4100 | 0.3900 | +5.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-30 | 1.1100 | 1.0500 | +5.7% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-31 | -0.0700 | 0.0800 | -187.5% |
The supplied data doesn’t include quarterly revenue or margins, so the EPS result alone can’t show how sales or operating profitability changed. For Canadian investors, the key contrast is that the latest quarter beat estimates while the fundamentals snapshot still shows negative trailing EPS and a negative profit margin.
Investor takeaway: The earnings beat extends a steady run of estimate outperformance, but it doesn’t tell the whole story. In the supplied snapshot, Spin Master’s trailing 12-month EPS is -C$1.09 and its profit margin is -3.77%. Investors may want to consider those figures alongside the quarterly result and expectations for next quarter. See the Spin Master stock page for more company and share information.
C$1.03 EPS, 7.3% above estimate
Spin Master reported EPS of C$1.03 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, against an estimate of C$0.96. That’s its fourth consecutive comparable-quarter beat in the supplied history. For next quarter, six analysts expect EPS of C$1.21, with year-over-year growth estimated at 9.2%. Revenue consensus is C$781.03 million, up an estimated 6.3% year over year.
Bull case
Spin Master has beaten earnings estimates in each of its last four reported quarters. The supplied history includes 44 comparable quarters. Its toy and entertainment franchises also give it ways to extend its intellectual property across products and media.
The day before the earnings report, the company announced a fourth PAW Patrol feature film, planned for 2029. That’s a long-term franchise development, not evidence of an earnings boost in the near term.
Bear case
The quarterly earnings beat doesn’t change the weak trailing figures: EPS (TTM) is -C$1.09 and profit margin is -3.77%. The supplied data doesn’t include quarterly revenue or margins, so it’s hard to assess how broad the result was or what drove it.
Next-quarter EPS consensus has also slipped from C$1.22 to C$1.21 over the past 30 days. Of the reported revisions, two were downward and none were upward.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
