Stack Capital Group reported a quarterly loss of C$0.35 per share, smaller than the C$0.65 loss analysts expected. The 46.2% earnings surprise comes as the company’s shares remain well below their 52-week high.
Stack Capital Group Inc. (TSX: STCK) reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, before markets opened on November 4. Calendar data shows earnings per share (EPS) of -C$0.35, compared with an estimate of -C$0.65—a positive surprise of 46.15%. The company still reported a loss. For Canadian investors, the result is one part of the picture: Stack’s portfolio value can change as private companies raise financing or receive new valuations. The supplied earnings data does not include quarterly revenue or margins.
Recent earnings trend
Stack Capital Group Inc
STCK.TO
STCK.TO
Stack Capital Group Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$215.00M
P/E
2.1x
52W high
$38.72
52W low
$11.79
1W change
-11.26%
Beta
0.67
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering STCK · as of Nov 9, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast STCK stock price to rise 96.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$27.00
+96.9% Upside
Previously C$28.06 on Sep 17, 2026
Current Price
C$13.71
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on STCK's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
59.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
57.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$11.47
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$12.92 | C$10.53 – C$15.85 |
| 60 trading days | C$12.17 | C$9.12 – C$16.25 |
| 90 trading days | C$11.47 | C$8.05 – C$16.34 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-04 | -0.3500 | -0.6500 | +46.2% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 3.6100 | 2.8800 | +25.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 1.1766 | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-18 | 1.0758 | 0.0300 | +3486.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.1930 | 0.0400 | +382.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 2.2248 | 0.0300 | +7316.0% |
Investor takeaway: Stack’s loss was narrower than analysts expected, and the company has beaten estimates in each of its last four comparable reported quarters. But an EPS surprise alone doesn’t show whether the portfolio is gaining value. The next-quarter consensus comes from one analyst, and the supplied data does not include the full quarterly financial statements. Keep reported earnings separate from changes in the carrying values of private holdings.
C$0.35 loss per share, versus a C$0.65 estimated loss
The 46.15% positive surprise means Stack lost less per share than expected; it does not mean the company earned a profit. Stack has beaten estimates in its last four reported quarters, though changes in the value of private investments can affect its results.
Bull case
Stack has beaten EPS estimates in each of its last four reported quarters. A supplemental results headline also reports Q3 book value of C$19.90 per share, or C$311 million in total. It says Stack increased the carrying value of its Crusoe holding by C$12.1 million after Crusoe’s US$3.9 billion Series F financing. If portfolio companies continue to raise financing or increase in value, that could support Stack’s reported portfolio valuations.
Bear case
Stack still reported a loss per share, and its stock is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. At C$13.71, it is also well below its 52-week high of C$38.72. Private-company valuations can be harder to assess and more sensitive to financing conditions. An increase in the value of one holding does not guarantee gains across the portfolio. The next-quarter EPS estimate of C$2.15 comes from just one analyst, so it may not reflect a broad market view.
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