
A recent comparison of custodian banks highlights Northern Trust's performance metrics.
The analysis titled 'State Street (STT) vs BNY (BNY) and Northern Trust (NTRS): Which Custodian Bank is a Better Buy?' evaluates Northern Trust's position among its competitors in the custodian banking sector. As of the latest trading session, Northern Trust's stock closed at US$162.52, reflecting a 1.02% decline for the day and a 1.17% decline over the past week. Over the past month, the stock has decreased by 11.48%, although it remains up 22.06% year-to-date.
Investor takeaway: Northern Trust's financial performance metrics are noteworthy amid its recent stock price fluctuations.
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Northern Trust Corporation
NTRS.US
NTRS.US
Northern Trust Corporation
Market cap
$30.96B
P/E
14.5x
Div. yield
1.90%
Div. / share
$3.20
52W high
$194.86
52W low
$118.61
1W change
-1.17%
Beta
1.25
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 16 analysts covering NTRS · as of Oct 14, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast NTRS stock price to rise 8.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Hold3.06 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$181.71
+8.5% Upside
Previously C$182.07 on Oct 12, 2026
Current Price
C$167.48
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (16 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on NTRS's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
20.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
21.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-34.7%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$147.94
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$160.69 | C$149.67 – C$172.54 |
| 60 trading days | C$154.18 | C$139.44 – C$170.49 |
| 90 trading days | C$147.94 | C$130.80 – C$167.33 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Northern Trust's stock closed at US$162.52, down 1.02% on the day.
The stock is currently trading at 58% of its 52-week range of US$118.61 to US$194.86, which may raise concerns for some investors.
Bull case
Northern Trust has a strong profit margin of 24.7% and a return on equity (ROE) of 17.1%. These figures suggest that the company is well-managed and capable of generating solid profits from its equity investments.
Bear case
However, Northern Trust's stock is currently trading below both its 50-day moving average of US$180.96 and its 200-day moving average of US$163.70. This trend indicates potential challenges in maintaining its stock price.
What the Analysis Reveals
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The analysis compares Northern Trust with State Street and BNY, focusing on financial metrics such as profit margins, return on equity, and stock performance. Northern Trust stands out with its profit margin of 24.7% and return on equity of 17.1%, reflecting strong operational efficiency. The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.54, suggesting it may be fairly valued based on its earnings. Investors may find these metrics useful in their decision-making process.
Current Stock Performance and Metrics
As of the latest trading session, Northern Trust's stock closed at US$162.52, reflecting a 1.02% decrease. The stock has seen a 1-month decline of 11.48% and is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of US$180.96, which is a 10.2% decrease from its current price. Additionally, the stock is trading near its 200-day moving average of US$163.70, only 0.7% above it. The latest trading volume was 582,605 shares, lower than the 20-day average volume of 1,084,801 shares, indicating reduced trading activity.
What to Watch Next
Investors should monitor Northern Trust's upcoming financial updates, especially given recent changes in leadership and strategic direction. The average analyst target for Northern Trust is US$181.71, implying an upside potential of 11.8% from the current price. Observing how the stock reacts to market conditions and any shifts in the custodian banking sector will be essential for understanding its future trajectory.
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