Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee reported third-quarter EPS of C$0.12, matching the only analyst estimate. While earnings were in line, company-reported results showed stronger operating performance.
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. (TSX: SWP) released results after the market closed on November 3 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. EPS was C$0.12, matching the C$0.12 estimate for a 0.0% surprise. That’s an in-line result, not a beat. Since the estimate came from one analyst, it offers only a limited view of market expectations. The company reported higher revenue, processed volumes and adjusted EBITDA. Supplied fundamentals put its profit margin at 1.87%. For Canadian investors, the question is whether stronger operations can lead to more lasting profitability.
Recent earnings trend
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc
SWP.TO
SWP.TO
Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$93.33M
P/E
21.6x
52W high
$10.04
52W low
$4.25
1W change
+11.58%
Beta
1.20
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering SWP · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast SWP stock price to rise 2.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$10.00
+2.8% Upside
Current Price
C$9.73
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on SWP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
64.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
54.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$11.63
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$10.33 | C$8.27 – C$12.90 |
| 60 trading days | C$10.96 | C$8.00 – C$15.01 |
| 90 trading days | C$11.63 | C$7.91 – C$17.10 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-03-11 | — | 0.1200 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-03 | 0.1200 | 0.1200 | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.1500 | 0.0500 | +200.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | 0.1442 | 0.0400 | +260.5% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | 0.0900 | 0.0300 | +200.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.0100 | -0.0600 | +116.7% |
Investor takeaway: EPS matched the lone estimate, while operating results improved. Third-quarter revenue rose 5% to C$65.9 million, processed volumes increased 16%, and adjusted EBITDA climbed 50% to C$4.9 million. These figures come from the supplied summary of the company’s release; the calendar data includes EPS but not revenue or margins. Swiss Water beat estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters, but this quarter’s exact match shows how much estimate comparisons can depend on a small analyst sample. Follow the company’s results and valuation on the SWP stock page.
C$0.12 EPS: exactly in line
Calendar data shows actual EPS of C$0.12 against an estimate of C$0.12, a 0.0% surprise. Swiss Water has beaten estimates in three of the last four comparable quarters. This quarter’s estimate, however, came from just one analyst.
Bull case
The operating results point to progress. Higher processed volumes and adjusted EBITDA, along with reported high capacity utilization and debt reduction, suggest Swiss Water is getting more from its production base. The company plans to spend C$6.2 million to expand its Delta, B.C., facility, increasing capacity by 15%. Commercial operations are targeted for July 2027. If demand supports the added capacity and operating improvements continue, the expansion could help drive growth. Swiss Water’s recent estimate history is also encouraging, with three beats in the last four comparable quarters, though this quarter matched expectations.
Bear case
The current EPS estimate came from one analyst, so it’s a limited benchmark, not a broad view of market expectations. Supplied fundamentals show a 1.87% profit margin, leaving little room for cost increases or execution problems. The expansion also carries delivery and utilization risks: added capacity doesn’t guarantee profitable output. Shares closed at C$9.73, near their 52-week high of C$10.04, while the average analyst target is C$10.00. That suggests modest upside to the target. The statistical forecast’s wide range also highlights uncertainty, rather than offering a reliable guide to the share price.
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