Taseko Mines reported quarterly EPS of C$0.15, below the C$0.18 estimate. It was the company’s fourth straight quarter without an earnings beat.
Taseko Mines Ltd. (TSX: TKO) reported earnings before market open on November 5 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. EPS was C$0.15, 16.7% below the C$0.18 estimate. This marks four consecutive comparable quarters in which EPS either missed or matched estimates. Revenue and margin details weren’t provided, so EPS is the clearest measure available in this update. TKO closed at C$9.85, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Recent earnings trend
Taseko Mines Ltd
TKO.TO
TKO.TO
Taseko Mines Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$3.61B
P/E
46.9x
52W high
$13.60
52W low
$5.51
1W change
-4.37%
Beta
2.11
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TKO · as of Oct 22, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TKO stock price to rise 48.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$14.63
+48.5% Upside
Previously C$14.50 on Oct 21, 2026
Current Price
C$9.85
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TKO's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
60.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
70.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$8.24
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$9.28 | C$7.54 – C$11.42 |
| 60 trading days | C$8.74 | C$6.52 – C$11.73 |
| 90 trading days | C$8.24 | C$5.75 – C$11.81 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-02-17 | — | 0.1300 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-05 | 0.1500 | 0.1800 | -16.7% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-04 | 0.1100 | 0.1200 | -8.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.0800 | 0.0800 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.1100 | 0.1200 | -8.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | 0.0200 | 0.0300 | -33.3% |
Investor takeaway: Estimates have consistently met or exceeded reported EPS. Actuals were C$0.11 versus C$0.12 in December 2025, C$0.08 versus C$0.08 in March 2026, C$0.11 versus C$0.12 in June, and C$0.15 versus C$0.18 in September. The key question is whether operating results can support the growth built into forecasts. One analyst’s estimate for the September quarter projected revenue of C$279.64 million, up 60.8% year over year, and EPS of C$0.18, compared with C$0.02 a year earlier. These are estimates, not reported results. TKO’s last close was C$9.85, down 18.9% over the past month and below its 50-day average of C$11.65 and 200-day average of C$10.61. See the TKO stock page for company and market data.
C$0.15 EPS versus C$0.18 expected
The 16.7% shortfall marks Taseko’s fourth consecutive comparable quarter without an EPS beat: three misses and one result in line with estimates. EPS rose from C$0.11 in December 2025 to C$0.15 in September 2026, but estimates remained higher than actual results.
Bull case
The growth case depends on earnings and revenue rising substantially from year-ago levels. The available estimate for the quarter projected EPS growth of 800%, from C$0.02, and revenue growth of 60.8%. The consensus EPS estimate also rose from C$0.17 to C$0.18 over the previous 30 days. Analyst targets are well above TKO’s last close: the average target of C$14.63 implies 48.5% upside from C$9.85. That target isn’t a guarantee, and a formal rating isn’t available for Canadian listings. Investors can review the analyst target details alongside the company’s reported results.
Bear case
Taseko missed EPS estimates in three of the past four quarters and matched them once. The latest shortfall, 16.7%, was the largest in that period. The share price has also weakened: TKO is below both key moving averages and down 18.9% over the past month. The supplied fundamentals show a P/E of 46.9 and a profit margin of 6.69%, but don’t include quarterly revenue or margin results that could explain the EPS miss. Forecasts are based on one analyst, making the estimate base narrow, even though historical coverage data is available. The 90-day statistical forecast gives a mean of C$8.24. It’s a model output, not a price target or investment recommendation.
Analysis
Taseko Mines reported EPS of C$0.15 for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026, 16.7% below the C$0.18 calendar estimate. The company reported before market open on November 5. This was the fourth consecutive comparable quarter without an EPS beat: December 2025 came in at C$0.11 versus C$0.12 expected, March 2026 was C$0.08 against C$0.08, and June 2026 was C$0.11 against C$0.12. September’s result was the largest miss in that four-quarter run. The supplied earnings data doesn’t include revenue or quarterly margins, so it doesn’t show what caused the shortfall. The recent earnings trend table and chart provide the quarter-by-quarter record.
Analysis
The available estimate for the September quarter projected revenue of C$279.64 million, up 60.8% year over year, and EPS of C$0.18, compared with C$0.02 a year earlier. One analyst contributed to the consensus, and the EPS estimate rose from C$0.17 to C$0.18 over the previous 30 days. These are forecasts, not reported revenue results. The average analyst price target is C$14.63, 48.5% above TKO’s last close of C$9.85. The data labels the consensus rating bullish based on the target comparison; a formal rating isn’t available for Canadian listings. See analyst price targets for more detail.
Analysis
TKO closed at C$9.85, below its 50-day moving average of C$11.65 and 200-day moving average of C$10.61. The shares fell 18.93% over one month and 4.37% over one week, despite gaining 0.61% on the latest reported day. The Wealth Awesome statistical 90-day model gives a mean forecast of C$8.24, with a 68% range of C$5.75 to C$11.81 and a 95% range of C$4.01 to C$16.92. Its mean estimates for 30, 60, and 90 days are C$9.28, C$8.74, and C$8.24, respectively. This is a statistical model, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Explore the Wealth Awesome price forecast and the TKO stock page for more context.
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