Tilray Inc's latest earnings report reveals significant challenges, with a substantial miss on EPS forecasts.
Recent earnings trend
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Tilray Inc
TLRY.TO
TLRY.TO
Tilray Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$863.53M
52W high
$32.30
52W low
$5.19
1W change
+10.84%
Beta
1.90
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TLRY
Wall Street analysts forecast TLRY stock price to rise 20.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$7.64
+20.4% Upside
Current Price
C$6.34
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TLRY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
45.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
55.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$5.30
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$5.97 | C$5.11 – C$6.99 |
| 60 trading days | C$5.63 | C$4.51 – C$7.02 |
| 90 trading days | C$5.30 | C$4.04 – C$6.96 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-28 | 0.0500 | 0.2100 | -76.2% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-01 | 0.0200 | 0.0700 | -71.4% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-08 | -0.0200 | — | — |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-09 | -0.0004 | -0.0300 | +98.7% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-28 | 0.0200 | 0.0100 | +100.0% |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-08 | -0.8700 | -0.3300 | -163.6% |
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Tilray Inc (TLRY.TO) reported its latest earnings on July 28, 2026, for the fiscal period ending May 31, 2026. The company posted an EPS of $0.05, falling short of analysts' expectations of $0.21, resulting in a 76.19% surprise miss. This outcome raises questions about Tilray's operational efficiency and market strategies in the competitive cannabis landscape.
Investor takeaway: Investors should note the drastic EPS miss and consider the implications for Tilray's growth strategy and market positioning. The company's ability to adapt in a rapidly evolving industry will be crucial moving forward.
Bull case
Tilray has bounced back before, beating estimates in two of the last four quarters. The cannabis market is still growing, and Tilray's strategic initiatives might lead to long-term benefits.
Bear case
This significant earnings miss could point to deeper operational issues within Tilray. With a profit margin of -13.26% and a TTM EPS of -1.53, the company's financial health may raise concerns for potential investors.
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