TSX open
Loading marketsโ€ฆ

Advertisement

Stocks

Toronto Dominion Bank Soars 6% This Week on Record Q3 Earnings

By Qayyum Rajan, CFA -

Follow live quotes and coverage.

Stocks & ETFs:TD.TO

Get TD alerts:

Photos provided by Pexels

Toronto Dominion Bank's shares surged 6% over the past week, driven by record Q3 profits that exceeded analyst expectations. The bank's strong performance in capital markets and plans for U.S. expansion have investors feeling optimistic.

Toronto Dominion Bank (TD.TO) saw a notable 6% increase in share price recently, thanks to impressive fiscal Q3 earnings. The bank reported a record net income of CA$4.62 billion, significantly higher than last year's figures, and announced plans to open 100 new U.S. branches by 2028. This expansion follows the resolution of previous regulatory issues, indicating a solid growth strategy for the bank.

Investor takeaway: Long-term investors should see TD's strong earnings and expansion plans as positive signs for future growth.

Advertisement

Toronto Dominion Bank

TD.TO

Full stock page โ†’

TD.TO

Toronto Dominion Bank

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
โ†‘ $37.36 (28.67%)
120 day period
$126.11$150.69$175.27Mar 11Jun 5Aug 31

Market cap

$276.25B

P/E

18.1x

Div. yield

0.63%

Div. / share

$1.05

52W high

$175.33

52W low

$98.62

1W change

+3.87%

Beta

0.87

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering TD

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Wall Street analysts forecast TD stock price to rise 3.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Neutral

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$173.14

+3.3% Upside

Current Price

C$167.67

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV โ†’

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on TD's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$137.73C$158.90C$180.07C$201.24C$222.41C$243.59TodayApr 23Jun 26Aug 31Oct 13Nov 26Jan 8

30-Day Vol

21.3%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

18.6%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+24.9%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$183.24

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1ฯƒ)
30 trading daysC$172.71C$160.45 โ€“ C$185.91
60 trading daysC$177.90C$160.30 โ€“ C$197.42
90 trading daysC$183.24C$161.30 โ€“ C$208.17

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯƒ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯƒ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Advertisement

Strong Q3 Earnings Propel TD's Valuation Metrics

With a P/E ratio of 17.95x and a forward P/E of 15.46x, Toronto Dominion Bank's valuation reflects investor confidence after its record earnings. The significant rise in net income and revenue positions the bank well for continued growth, especially with its planned U.S. expansion.

Bull case

  • Record Q3 profits show strong operational performance and effective cost management.
  • Plans to expand in the U.S. could significantly boost revenue and market presence.
  • Improved return on equity suggests better profitability and efficient use of capital.

Bear case

  • Ongoing compliance costs from past regulatory issues may pressure profit margins.
  • The bank's reliance on capital markets could make it vulnerable to economic fluctuations.
  • Competitive pressures in both Canadian and U.S. markets might affect future growth.

Record Q3 Profits Signal Strong Performance

Advertisement

Toronto Dominion Bank reported a record net income of CA$4.62 billion for Q3, up from CA$3.87 billion a year earlier. This impressive performance was fueled by strong capital markets and wholesale banking operations, with adjusted diluted earnings per share rising to CA$2.77. The bank's ability to generate strong profits in a competitive landscape highlights its operational efficiency and strategic focus.

U.S. Expansion Plans Boost Investor Confidence

In addition to its strong earnings, TD announced plans to open 100 new branches in the U.S. by 2028, a move that could significantly enhance its market presence and revenue streams. This expansion comes after resolving past anti-money laundering regulatory issues, allowing the bank to focus on growth and improving client services. Investors are optimistic about the potential for increased profitability from this strategic initiative.

Market Reaction and Future Outlook

Following the announcement of its Q3 results and expansion plans, TD's shares rose 6% over the past week, reflecting positive market sentiment. Analysts are closely watching how the bank's upcoming Q4 results will show the impact of its U.S. expansion and ongoing capital market momentum. With a solid dividend yield of 2.57%, TD remains an attractive option for income-focused investors.

Advertisement

Wealth Awesome
Written by

Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

View Full Profile โ†’

โœ… Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFAยฎ charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFPยฎ) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFAยฎ charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFPยฎ professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

๐Ÿ“Š Data AccuracyVerified sources
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian FocusLocal expertise
๐Ÿ” Fact-CheckedEditorial review

โš ๏ธ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 1, 2026
Last Updated: September 1, 2026
PARTNER SPOTLIGHT

Blue Cross Lifeยฎ Term Life Insurance

Affordable term life coverage in Canada โ€” get a free quote in seconds, no credit card required.

  • โœ“Coverage from $100,000 to $5 million, terms of 10โ€“30 years
  • โœ“10% off first-year premiums when couples apply together
  • โœ“Fully digital application โ€” many qualify without a medical exam

Sponsored links

Advertisement