
The supplied catalyst names Tesco, not Tractor Supply Company, so it does not show that TSCO.US’s fair value changed.
A November 3 headline says Tesco’s fair value edged higher after an analyst target return. Tesco is a different company, and the supplied facts give no valuation details or link the headline to Tractor Supply. Tractor Supply’s reported last close was US$37.08, with latest volume of 543,149 shares.
Investor takeaway: The Tesco headline is not evidence of a valuation change at Tractor Supply. The supplied facts do not identify a matching Tractor Supply catalyst.
Tractor Supply Company
TSCO.US
TSCO.US
Tractor Supply Company
Market cap
$18.85B
P/E
19.5x
Div. yield
2.59%
Div. / share
$0.95
52W high
$55.60
52W low
$28.17
1W change
+7.10%
Beta
0.48
Analyst Price Targets
Based on 30 analysts covering TSCO · as of Nov 9, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TSCO stock price to rise 3.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Buy3.90 / 5.00
Avg. Target
C$37.48
+3.1% Upside
Previously C$37.41 on Oct 29, 2026
Current Price
C$36.35
Last close
Analyst Breakdown (30 analysts)
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TSCO's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
39.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
34.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+5.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$37.00
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$36.57 | C$31.96 – C$41.84 |
| 60 trading days | C$36.78 | C$30.41 – C$44.50 |
| 90 trading days | C$37.00 | C$29.31 – C$46.72 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
US$37.08 last close; 543,149 shares traded
Latest volume was 0.55 times the 20-day average of 15,038,088 shares. The supplied facts do not show that trading activity was a response to the Tesco headline.
Bull case
Tractor Supply shares rose 11.78% over the past month. The company’s reported profit margin was 6.1%, and its return on equity was 37.4%.
Bear case
The shares are down 27.08% year to date. Latest volume was 0.55 times the 20-day average. Neither figure explains the unrelated Tesco headline.
The named fair-value event is about Tesco
The November 3 headline says Tesco’s fair value edged higher after an analyst target return. Tesco is not Tractor Supply Company, despite the shared TSCO abbreviation in their market identifiers. The supplied facts do not include the analyst target, the size of Tesco’s fair-value change, or any link to Tractor Supply. The headline should not be presented as news about Tractor Supply. The company’s stock page is Tractor Supply Company; the supplied analyst-ratings link is also for TSCO.US, not Tesco.
Tractor Supply’s figures show mixed performance
Tractor Supply’s last close was US$37.08. Its shares fell 0.71% in one day, rose 7.10% over one week and 11.78% over one month, and were down 27.08% year to date. Latest volume was 543,149 shares, compared with a 20-day average of 15,038,088, or 0.55 times the average.
Other supplied figures include a P/E of 19.543, market capitalization of US$18,850,152,448, earnings per share of US$1.86, a 6.1% profit margin and 37.4% return on equity. These figures describe Tractor Supply but do not support the Tesco catalyst.
No matching Tractor Supply catalyst is established
The supplied headline list includes a November 3 Tractor Supply item about a nationwide Hometown Heroes celebration and a November 5 quarterly dividend announcement. Neither is identified as the catalyst in the event brief, and the supplied facts do not connect either item to the Tesco fair-value headline.
The facts also list an average analyst target of US$37.48, but do not say it changed in response to the Tesco story. Without a Tractor Supply-specific filing, analyst update or other linked event, the reason for any TSCO.US price or volume movement remains unknown.
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