Trisura Group Ltd maintains steady performance as it meets earnings expectations.
Trisura Group Ltd (TSU.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026, after the market closed on August 6, 2026. The company matched analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.76, resulting in a surprise percentage of 0.00%. This post-earnings digest delves into the company's recent performance, analyst targets, and future projections.
Recent earnings trend
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Trisura Group Ltd
TSU.TO
TSU.TO
Trisura Group Ltd
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Market cap
$1.97B
P/E
13.4x
52W high
$51.00
52W low
$36.02
1W change
-0.14%
Beta
0.57
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TSU
Wall Street analysts forecast TSU stock price to rise 38.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$57.50
+38.2% Upside
Current Price
C$41.60
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TSU's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
26.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
25.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-0.8%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$41.48
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$41.56 | C$37.98 – C$45.48 |
| 60 trading days | C$41.52 | C$36.55 – C$47.16 |
| 90 trading days | C$41.48 | C$35.49 – C$48.48 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 5 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-05 | — | 0.7600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.7600 | 0.7600 | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.7800 | 0.7600 | +2.6% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-12 | 0.7700 | 0.7000 | +10.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.7100 | 0.7200 | -1.4% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.6900 | 0.7100 | -2.8% |
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Investor takeaway: While Trisura's recent earnings met expectations, the company faces pressure from a declining stock price in the past month. Investors should weigh the company's consistent earnings against the backdrop of market performance and analyst forecasts.
EPS of $0.76 Matches Estimates, Revenue Growth of 6.6% Expected
Trisura's recent earnings align with analyst estimates, but the company must navigate a challenging market to sustain its growth trajectory, as reflected in the expected revenue growth of 6.6%.
Bull case
Trisura has shown resilience, beating earnings expectations in two of the last four quarters. Its consistent EPS growth and positive analyst ratings suggest there could be potential for growth as the company continues to tap into the specialty insurance market.
Bear case
Even though Trisura matched EPS estimates, its stock has struggled recently, declining by 8.49% over the past month. Additionally, the company is facing rising EPS consensus expectations, which may increase the pressure to deliver stronger results in the upcoming quarters.
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