Vermilion Energy Inc. delivered a significant earnings surprise, demonstrating resilience amidst volatile market conditions.
Recent earnings trend
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Vermilion Energy Inc.
VET.TO
VET.TO
Vermilion Energy Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$2.55B
Div. yield
3.29%
Div. / share
$0.53
52W high
$20.13
52W low
$9.34
1W change
+4.97%
Beta
0.49
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering VET
Wall Street analysts forecast VET stock price to rise 19.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$20.00
+19.9% Upside
Current Price
C$16.68
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on VET's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
49.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
55.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+13.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$17.49
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$16.95 | C$14.28 – C$20.11 |
| 60 trading days | C$17.22 | C$13.51 – C$21.94 |
| 90 trading days | C$17.49 | C$13.00 – C$23.54 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-28 | 0.8600 | 0.6700 | +28.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | -0.9200 | 0.2400 | -483.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-04 | -2.8600 | 0.0800 | -3675.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-05 | 0.0200 | 0.1900 | -89.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.4800 | -0.1400 | +442.9% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-29 | 0.1000 | 0.2343 | -57.3% |
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On July 28, 2026, Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.86, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.67 by an impressive 28.4%. This positive result comes as a relief after a tough fiscal year marked by negative earnings in previous quarters.
Investor takeaway: Investors may see this earnings surprise as a sign of Vermilion Energy's operational efficiency and recovery from earlier setbacks. With an average analyst target of C$20.00, there seems to be potential for further growth, especially considering the company’s recent performance.
EPS Surges 28.4% Above Estimates
The reported EPS of $0.86 shows a strong recovery from previous quarters, where the company faced negative earnings, indicating a solid turnaround.
Bull case
This strong earnings surprise highlights Vermilion's ability to navigate the complexities of the energy market. By focusing on operational improvements and managing its assets strategically, the company is well-positioned to benefit from rising energy prices and increasing demand.
Bear case
Even with the positive earnings surprise, investors should stay cautious. The company has experienced significant volatility in its historical earnings, and the recent EPS growth may not last if oil prices fluctuate or if operational challenges continue.
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